ESCALATIONڵδ
ߣ@ľ
OCRSSE


Դ
ⱾǾǸԴװҺڣһŮǰǴ͵ڶŮԭθϹ۲Żᰮ


ESCALATIONڵδ
ԭEscalationڤδ
ߣ@ľ
ͼLINDA
棺եԺŮĿ⣨Ժ
ɨͼSSE
OCRSSE
SSE



ӭҵ
͸һֱŵ
λõġ页
Story
СѨม֮ζεġ
˦ָ˫ȼŮأһж̵ҵĸڵδˡǴС㡣ɣסɡ
һֱ壬ڣͯɥʧ˲Ҫá
ؿڽꡢŵġŮˡΪԼŮѡŮˡ
ԼƷһһ԰ȫͣ
ϵײŮļֻ֪֮ڳŮ˵һôصһ˲䣬һֱԼŮҲ
Ŷ
һжɡ


Escalation1㽵δ
Escalation2ΣյԼ
Escalation3ǿҵռ
Escalation4ȫ԰
Escalation5㣿
Escalation6ҹӾװɫӰ
Escalation7δ˵ķաŮ
Escalation8İ


Escalation1㽵δ

1֮

죬ôˣ
һ쵽ϰ˵ʱ̡
լǣгŰʿĺش֮ڼ·ʱһͥԺ̾˿ƽʱʶͥԺ֪Ϊνȴ̫̫Ӱ
ԣ̫̫ĳƺѲ̫ȷˡһǰڰҵʣӰǴΪδˡδʵ󣬺ǴϣΪ겻Ŷʮѡ
ʮɷʮ꣬Ը߶ļ֮ԣƺ̫̫㡱оȽϲ֡
ǴÿԼߵ㿪ʼͥԺ֮ÿ϶Ӷ¥ķȷӰųѧֻΪ˺кԼ֮ԣڵδ˲ֻˣǼ˼һŮԡڶǰĴ죬հ򸾵кʱͶһ飬Ǵ˼ԣһջ󡣷ľ飬ϸΧ˵ƨֻгŮԲеĹܺõĴС㣬ǻȴɿûõ˵ɫԣǴһеջ
Ȼô㽣ҲܺѰۣǴкĳ̶ȡ˺ùµ裬֮лǴ׽ǰʼǴżᵽҺȲ죬Ҳͽ
һҪʼϰʱȴϰ;Уͨ¹ʱײ鷢һ꣬ǴŽָԭĿʣįӰһ԰ģ֪Ϊеһʹ
ǵȻģԼ֮ԣÿϺкΨһΪʹķ
᲻ðˣ
ֻ˯ͷ֮ӿڴóֻȷڵʱʡѾ˰˵㣬ٵȥٵġǾϳҪ̤ͬʱٴͥԺһۡ
صŴˣ㽵ˡ
簲
תɿʵı飬Ǵк
ѽ簲Ƚء
ǰе˯ͷˡ
΢Цĵ˼߳ǴƺҪţƽյĵױͬױƽгҲشڼڡ
ƽʱǴڼҶװŽ׳ŨɫĶխȹϹźȹͬɫסòƽеĸоͺˣһȻװҫۡŵýΧǾߴ̼У޳ȸעĿ
Ҫ𣿡
ţǰȥӢỰҡ
ףѲҪȥѧ֮𣿡
ԿЦĿʡ
ǵģҲǱ̣ȥ˵ġ
ǣʦ
ǰɣȻȫûо飬ǰѧġ֮Ƚһݵ޿ȷ᲻ᱻõġ
ҲѧӢỰ
֮˵
ˣǸӢأ

ʱǰʮ·ڴվİʿת˽
Բ𣬰ʿˣˣ·Сร
õģټ
ĿűʿվǴıӰŸ߸ЬĽŲҡȥƨܵȻ⾰
ĿǴͨĹӵʱգԼ֮ÿ춼г
ˣҲ
ҪͬʱŵĻͿԺһȥվʹʮӣǸܺ㽵δ˽̸ĻᡣȻҲëëţӵĳڣżȻľҲпܵġ
ôܣ԰
æػָԡԼܳΪѣֲϣڵнδУ΢ڸػš
οǴӦҲѾԼ⣬ҲҲ˿ʼѲøҲ˵ڵûˣһʱҲνֻҪٺ׽ЩȻ󡭡
ڴü֮Ĺɼеһȡ


2ͬͬѧ

ءͬѧ
緹ѽ־ʱèаԼ֡

ͷһԭΡڰŮѧǵ쵼߰Ĵڣ󷽿ʵԸϺܻչˣϵͬѧϲദ
Ǹѧ𣿡
ȻǵĻᱻ
ҲԡǰĩˣﲻϢһ㲻𣿡
ǰˣ
ϵ־ӺΣ֮λվ
Ҫȥ

˵ҳڡλæؽס
ǸæءǸ氡
˰ϴΪ㣬ҲҮ߹㲻ҪճˡǵģܷҮ
ڶǰʼǽѧγʦˣԼʦҪѧѵþáҲֻǻѧʼǡɼҲȴ
Բһ΢һµģ
͸ɴѧͺ˰ʮӶѰ
ҽлԳٵ
Ȼ´ξͲҪǰ
ţ´οʼһһ
ҪǳԵ׶㣬ַǰ۾
ǵģ
Ȼοɰģ˲̲ס࿴ۣ֮˸ָ࣬бλϵĽ﴾˾
ʹ˾Сѧһڿ˵Ƕһ޶ĺѡ̫ԵˣСѧ߶ʮһ䣬һֱͬࡣ
ƽղŻѵң
ιιҷƢ
šιιûʱҮ
˸Сܲ˾ȥ
ιûãǵġ㶯̫ȳɣ
ξ߱ʼǣԼλȥ
ιȡȵȡιιشҲ˵˵
ңдǵĲԣһʱ䣬νɣ
˵֮ת˽
ιشԭ
ܽĴ˾ͻȻʡ
ʲô
һɻػվڸڱĴ˾
Ǽһһϲ㡣Ȳܸԣԭͦ԰ɣ
ʲô԰ɣ
ͷ㲻˵ʲô
ɰǼһͦأ
Ŀ׷Сϴ̨ļ֮˾˵š
ǾϲҾͦأ

һϴ֣һžԼ˼ε¡ȷԡ㲻ô˾˵ҲѧһŮʵڸѧһοʱΪ̫ɰأ
ﾶʮֻԾ޳ȣҲΨһȱز̫СʮַϡȻϲʱ̫ԸҲϲ͡ҲеоԼкøУǣڵԼԡ
˶ˣ㿴ö
߳ʱ˾ü˶ļ硣
ʲôö
ˣ
˾Цţǳ¥ݿȥȻӿӿڴóһƻСᱡλ
ԭร
ҺɼĹͼɫڿƬ
ֶʲôʱĵİ
ղŰʼǱʱҼܰɣ
ҲԵมǵģ㶼ֶ
бأŻʱƬ֮ġ
˵˵ȥԭ˼ɣ
ǾòҲֻǶԱߵȤѰƬŴ̿ԭġ֮ǰԵڿ㻹¶һ㣬ʵǡ
㰡ƬĻһᱻѧģ
ûģҲ᱿˷ֵġٰ㣡
ҲҪ
ÿǳҵĻҪûȤĻֱɾҲ԰

֮ſЦͷװҲûãΪѧ˾ǽɫ鿯ĺû飬Ȼ˵뿴ɾǲ˵Ȼô


3

һҹ˾ԼεƬŻʱ͵Ƭ
รȷǣɼ΢΢רעؿŵԻ棬ÿƬԾĽǶŻлӺΣĵúд
รǼһǱģ
ͻȻ˾ѧУűԱҳʽ͸ѧУŷѧý塣괺𣬴˾α༭ÿһ£˲ӣҲΪҵĻ⡣͵ĵĿġ
ԭû뵽
ڴźĶ̿㣬ֻҪ΢һƨɱ¶ܶմT˶͵ָɦ˵С
Ǵ˾˵š
ΰЬƬڵϣMſĹɼ䣬̿Ե¶˷ۺɫڿ㡣Ǽ˶󣬶̿㱻ƨɳ˽ȥװڿɵɽҲʮŮʹȷʵ£źܲƬ
ȻڴһŻ
ţ
ﾶӵƬҲΡ
ӱӦѧУͼݡͬβ˶̬ǷԼڱģһߵ΢ЦȻждƬ
һѲɡԭˡ
˾һǶ˼ڰϺۣܲоǸԻҰŮŴڿ۾ʵڳƲǸˡԲԲҲĸ߲ҲգǾ㲻εĶҲ˵
㲻ûͦʺϵһأ
ôġ֮̿͵εƬֻˡһǽʱ͵ĵڿա
ҺϿŮڿصĶ㲼ĲݣԿóһ̻߱
ǡġѷ죿
͵ʼţֱشݽʵҪ·ҵɫ黭񲢲ѣǳʲôӼ֮ȻҲֻ֪ǻûۿľѡοѧһŮز·ϹĻǲһġ
ԭӦǴŮɣ
֮Ŀתضǵѿڲķ⡣ԺΣŻϵڿԵһˣٷɫӦССӲӲİɣƾܵ뱼š
ȫǰԼļ鷿ʹϰȻҲŪֻŮеĳȻͷҲǣ֮󡭡

ĳ䵭ȥȻ֪ķ޷ΡΪͯģǱԼĸڵδˡ
˵ڿ㣬Ȼǲͬ
ŤŸ̨ŵ·
εȫͬԸڿ㡣Ĵεֵ䣬΢ҡšƽʱ·Ϊ޻Ƚɣ
죬һȥɣվ
ԵĻϣĲεڿաлĻ͵ĵȣ̨֮ҡεӵĳϵĵϷ




Escalation2ΣյԼ

1ڹ

ˣ
ġ˵㡣׼ɴӶ¥ķҵͥԺļ֮صǴסȭͷ
ѹס˷ܵ¥ݡΪÿ춼ͬʱţܶǴһͥԺòײŵȵᡣ
֮ţ׷վȥǴ
룬Ӧǳѧ߰ɡ
ҲҪȥѧӢء
е̫ԶԵĻϣǴСܽҡô˵ʱԤʱĹˡ
롣ĻҪŮʿȶ԰ɣ
һ
ǰҾͲˡ
Цŵ˵ͷ˳֮ϳǴıӰŷβ˳ʵķβĿġ
ĺܼأ
ͨĳϣԤڵض˵ʮֽӽ֮ǱһȭͷľˣǴľ飬оʱҪԼһ
ǰϰͦܵģ
Ŵ羰Ǵ˵šʱͻȻ𣬹ɷ

Ǵ鷿ѹذ塣֮ЩǱǴһµء
Ȼͨԣܲһ쵽Ϊ´Сֵء֮ҲǣֻҪһɷѹ
ȻʶҲʲôΪȻָĵĦһ´ȣ˿ഥдǴˮζΣյԵջ
㰡ã
鷿Ĵùɼе۸УһڻױƷˮϵķ㣬Ǵ˵ζоһɳŮԵĺضɡ
ʮӣʿվһתʱ
۰
ֱסʧȥƽеǴȻֻǸԵжסŮ֣ץסƨ⡣
ҡҡڡǴСƨɣ
ذ鷿ĴУĸоŮεĴǺü̶Σԡ֮ŵĵĿƶɫǰظƨɡ
оóڿ״СȻ˹忪ʼŭţǴ¸ͻ
㡢ˣ򾲰
ˣС϶ַſƨɣŬָƽʱǴĿѹԼסԼ°ӿ
ǵģ˾มԲร
ڵվˣ֮ڴǴбˡ
ᣬô˵
ҡͷǴı鿴ûƨɱͲи
³ˡ
˿ֻϵʱ䣬Ѿٵˡ̵һÿΣҸطʱʣڶÿٻȥϡ
ˣ֮
ʲô
̤ʱǴסˡ
죬п𣿡
ףпգ
һɻػش
ʵҽ㣬ҰæչСһҪޣΪһʵû취١
ĶӣǴǽСк֮üΡ˵ǵ裬żΪչС
ҽܾǰͰˣµҲܾˣԣȻúܲ˼
ûģҲû¡
Լ֮֮õĺûᣬ㲻ÿԽ㽵δ˵ķҲҪſҺùµӶǰʼÿնȥΡӤûˣ԰ĻӦûɣ
Ըæ𣿡
ǵģռأҾͿ˰ɣ
ǰǾһܺö֮࣬ǹԾͻᰲһˡϲʲôأ񣬻ǮȽϺأ
ʲô񡭡οһϲСأ
ȻСû֮Цݵ˸ѡ
£δ˵ĹϵȵĽչһжǴļУڵļ֮ǻȻ֪


2

ڣԼ˰
޻صеǴһż£һŽϵ¡
֮˵г̥ӦǻѻֻΪ˺һĽڣϣܸ׽Լ
ûǴǰͲ֮⣬ûôٶۣοŮԭǶ˵ĺĺеʵģʵɷ򡭡
û뵽֮ͦ󵨵
·ϴ»ϴǴɳϣϷ¡
Ǹתʧȥƽʱһ汧ңӱƨɡɫǰ󵨵أŮĴС
ȻûжʾԹʲô
֮żײ鷿ָڴĦɿаԼҲΡϾ˼ڵԱͱȽϴҪǱ㽵ŮһŪ侲ˡ
úôӲӲزأ
ǴеȷоˡǴ̽ӹ㣬Ѫ鶥¸
Ҳǣҵĸ飬ֻż㽶ѡҪòˣжС
΢ϸ֮ͣһͯɣΪ˲ܲ⣬ԼҲͼ֮һϵĻĽӴȻ֪ҪԼ֮һϹ䲻֪һһֵǷʵû뵽ҵô׵رֳ
룬ҲҵжǿҰɣԲŻԽĶΪɣ
Ҫʵ첢ûޣ֪֮ҪΣܰе˾ֻм֮
֪أ֮㡢ҡ
ǰëش鷿źͯΣΪ
ҹڷУܱ֯Ľű͸ġסԸġɷΪɫʶġὫ֮ʵʵУΪɷ򼺾ȥˡ
ɷڴѧҵĹʶġŵĲҲֱ˾
Ϊɥһֱɢʿ곤ǿҵ㽡ԣԡʮⷴϲΪϣְֵϹŮ۰
ȻʮԶ㣬Ҳɡ
Ϊһٰ˵ߡʵͺӵۣĸԣܲĽ˾
֮û飬ΪԼŶ塣ֻһСʱɥʧֳܡǲȫ֮⣬ʵŲʮ˰ģʢǣ򵥵˵ǡ֡
ԲŻһֱرܺؽڲ顣ȴǴı䡣
ԼĽŴű˵ıԼ⡣ҲǶô飬ſϽⲻΪ֪ʵס
˽⵽ǴΪ㵹룬ҪСֻҪܺİһ͹ˡ
»һ㣬иÿ춼Ҹӡ
ḻůİΧšҹҰ̰Լ塣̻᲻֪ĿΪԼ԰áԼ԰ĸ߳˷ãϲϲ
Сʡģ֪Լ֪ˡڶ˱ûῪʼ𵹴԰
ڼҵĶӣһڰء
ᵽҰ֮ɷڴϸ̨֪һеĿˡ


3ͼ

ţ
֮һҪʼڽǴɷͻһ仰ͷб˶ҹʱʣΪʲôҪ˵ֻأ
ȷԼҲвкûȤӦҲûеôǿֻǱزĴСɣ
ӦҲзְɣ
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ǵģЦˣֻҪౣ
鷿ŭţ¶סȻסͷҵǱɷѹȥʽλϵס
มûܺãܰ
Խгɣѧȡɷ̫̫սҲ̲ס
ܺúܺá嵽ءΡΰ
ץǴŭ϶ౡÿһֱӹڡ
ԡð塭鷿ҲҪץ
û⣬԰ɣ
񱩵شž飬ָͷͣͳ
ޡáðҪҪҵ鷿
Ǵӹ鷿С
ΣǴ
ޣáð졢йˡǡҵĻšţ
Һֱڛiɢֵļţ۳ڸ֮߳Сɷؿڷš

ڸϢСɷѵ£Ůǿ˶еȡɷذͻڸ߳Сʱٶȿڡ
ڼҵĶӣҼǵ֡ǽм֮ɣ

ָߣ˧
ι㵽ôˣܸڼҵĶӸﰡ
ʵǰһӡҾͿʼЩȤ¡
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СȤ£
ɷıȫսڽԵϷʱб顣
֪𣿡
޵ſ¹ں棬һһӲͦӵѷ죬ڿɫùͷĥš
Σ𣿡
롢ţ˼
ŤƨѹȥھƣմŮҺֱ֡

ʱеЩ΢ʹУܿر㱻ǿҵĿû
ι˵Ȥ£ʲô
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°塭ƨʱҲǡ
Са£
ž֨ž֨ײţƵ¸ڳϰ˱ָתš
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˵Ĵ̼µľϮǴ̲סߴɷ
û⡭𣿡
ⶹشãƤֱĹʵŲϵشš
ޣޡޣţ
󿴿֮ڿءҵ㣬Ӽأ
ϣڶϸšȻ˽ɷͼǴɷһǿ񱡭Լڳ衢µΪжȱ쳣ĸǵӵ񱣬ԼıŰһ
ԲŻøڼҵ꣬µʵ޵ĵԸֻȢ޵˲ƷζľϵĿ֡
มˡ˷ˣǴƨɱúý
⡢¡ţҪҪšţ
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ԼףȲʱڶļ֮ڿ㣬Լ¿Ŀѧʪȡ
ɷĵضܵĳⷣﵽ߳ʱ㻹ݼ֮ݳŵ԰
֪У֮򸾶ԣѳΪҹϷвɻȱġˡ
һ֮ҲǷһڵ̫̫ο˰ɣ
ǣʵȴһֱûջĻᣬҲΪھԸѡü֮Լ·ͷ򸾽ŵļƻҲйȫû취ʵСӼ֮Ĵû취ǵҡ
ʹˣ򸾵֯ջĽűޱ߼ʵݡ򸾽šνŮˡɷĹۿ£Ůṩʢꡣ
ɣֻʣȴʵеʱѡ


4ο֮

Ĵȫ
ţǴջڵ꣬ûк»뷨
ֻǾϣɷ򿪷۸Ҳܡ׷Σտֵĳ嶯޷ơ
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ǹеĽͨ¹ʣõһʱս𣬽ӦûȥܲڼԲ뵽ȥӢĽʦ
û뵽⾹Ϊͼ֮ӽĻᡭ
˽ˣδɵ£ǽɷҹҹ֯ϷʵʵС
ʵδҪʦ֮ԻѡʦĹԵĽʹ°ɣҲΪջ֮ľְɡΪһغɷû䣬ʹ¡
ǸҵŮ˰㽵Ůˡôغɫҵİ
еļ֮鷿
ڼ֮ǰׯĴ㣬ɷĿ£ȴŹܵĹΪ
鷿ϲϲ鷿㿴ңร
ȥ£𣬴ŵFֱ顣
һģһ֮ܽε
úӲ˷ܣҡ
ִ鷿ѪӲͦͷȣȹ¶˿Ըڿ㡣
ϲڿǰиСءţֿ㣿ǣǸɫڿร
ںͻļ֮ԻУֿʼڿơ
ð´δ㿴Խȥร
ָڿŮϻСౡﴫ⫵ɫڿԸоشʪ
ʪ˰ңôء
ԼĹɼ侹ʪǴҧס´ز˴زšƨѨսջĳ˱Ƕ
ɥδѵڱøǿˣڱ֮͵֮Ľ죬ǡ
Ǵ¥ҡ
·ȫش³óһӡ
ЩлֵĶأ
ƿൽզߣǴЦ˵šЩɷġɫİ󣬱¡ַһڵ÷ļְĦľ޸һͷҲܰǴϲһƷе̫ˡ
ûǴѡ˸СһŵģҪɼ֮õģ˵ȻΪڽͯС
ȲǰϷ룬ֱ֭Ҫڴϣһֻ㱻롣ڰĦͿҺתֱµͷϷ
ǰﰡ
ųMſָVֽƬ⿪ŰĦڻٴŪ
ԡûףȥ
ڱƼײûȥΥĲ룬ĦĿУҪˡ
ԣûŮˡ
Żеļ֮ʼ֭ͣɢػҡ񱩵س͡
áð̫̫ˡУˡ
ܿؾϸϮȻȫʼν
еļ֮Ҳ̲ס侫ˡŨĳڡ԰δʹ˽̰Ů
ððšޡ
һηǰŰĦͯŪԼģָ̽ƨѨ
ޣǡǡð̫˰
ҵֽУǴֵϷС
һҪɷ֯ʵ֣ǿҵظԼ֮Ҳһڴţ͸δ˵ĳɣ




Escalation3ǿҵռ

1˽ڿ

ǲ˼һᾡϻģ
һ㡣кԼǰļ֮Ǵػæ׼
е⣬бܣǾ;԰ɣร
õģ·Сม
֮ӻ֣ĿǴ뿪ֱ֮󣬽Źϣص˿
ȲӦûϵɣ
˸ںһۣոջڷȥĽǴǳ˵ĺ˯Ϯ˯
֮ͥԺÿ춼ڿԺӣ￴ȥȴоôͬǿҵʶԼھ㽵δ˵ļ
Ǹûᰡ
ԼƻţҪлĻǱķԵĻǴ˽ֱӴĶʹֻ㽵ŮԵ˽ҵҲ鰡
ֻǿѣûʲôģ
Ҳ˯һСʱɣҪǱ뷿һгֵʱ䣬ζԷŹᡣ
һעŽĶȣŵ˶¥ܹţһ
һǿͷڶ俴鷿ֻʣһˡ
֮תŰѡ
һ͵ζӭǴõˮζ֮⻹лױƷζһţ֪Ӻδջĳ̼
ǴСÿ춼˯
ڵʵŲ֪˶ٴεδ˵˽ҡ
ʮķ˫˴ڴߣԱ¹񡣴չʾССҺǽϡǡ۹ܿػصϣ̲֮ס˿
µĳ㱻ڴϣˣеɫºڿ㶼Ӧǻʱ˳¿Ҳ°ɣ
ǡǴСġ
򴲱ߣ򵭻ɫ¡
Ħ˱Ǵ̵ζ
ðζ
ݰζɦŪűǻ·ǽͷزȼһ㣬С
̫˸жˣδ˵ﻹֹԼ֮ԣڿȤĶ
֮·Żԭ۹ڿ㡣
գ
ֱ̯ŵڿ㣬ײɫЩͬλðĺۼײȾ˵ɫ
òǡ
æڿ㣬ϸع۲㽵ŮԵĶʲôҲ࣬
֮ؽײĻմսӡδ˱ǶˮǺζҲۻζ΢΢ĸĶصζ
ǣŮ˵ζġǴСġСѨζ
ʹе΢΢ѣؽʪʪĲڱǼĦҵŨҵС
֪֮ڿ㲢ǸģΪմζصοʪҺմȾȥġ

ɼ͵Ӳִ󣬼֮ڳܳС޷ѹ飬˷ܵȫëֱסοǰ첻֮ŭŵӿ˳δ˵ʼο
Ǵ壬ŪžԼǡ򾱣Ȼͷ˱šȻƣŤ¸ïܵëٽɢζĹɼ䡣
֪ζ޷е㣬鿴ҵشͲʪĻա
úó԰ǴСĺúó԰
ڻеļ֮궯Ͳٶ졣һ˱ڿףһشÿ䡣ⲻֻǻ룬ΪʵԼƷ֭ʵиϾͱټޡ
ҡҡѾѾ
ҺһذϽ˰ɫҺ塣

ڵϵļ֮ڴδйģʶҪʧĿл㱵ɢһصİҺൽԼţҺȫڵذϡ
֮пʼֽذɾմҺڿŻԭλֽͰٻصȷûκּ
Ӧûɣûʲôһĵط
ڿϵĿˮ⣬俴ûκα仯򴲱߿ͻȻͷбʼǱ
ǡռǣ
̿СӲƤʼǱдڡȻò͵ռǣ̯һҳ˵ʲô
һ˲䣬ַɽʮգдšɫ顱
ʮǣҼǵá
һ죬ɫòǣʱġ
ûлΪʲôռǻᷭһҳֻһ浽дʲôڴʼϸؿ
񡭡ǿҡ
ǴѷƨɱԼɫΪҲĬˡǲǴ˵Ŀ֮ģǳǴջʵȫдռϡ
ǴСҡ
ϣǴǿ鷿ײתʱҲʧȥƽ⣬ΪҪлɳ˶ġ
֮һҲڵᡣг̥һƭ˵ģֻΪҴͬһ๫ӦǶ˼ҶġֻŮˣԵСϲǴǰģԲŻҪŪɣǸ
ҡҡǴСҲҡ
øˣоͻȻ㽵ŮԸһ
Һù֣һ̲֮סҪջȻ֪ǲеģɷˣҲǱѣҲƲϲסˡһֱڵȴᣬôջء԰
ǡʲô
θڵĽβ̲֮סһҳռǶڱԹ޵£ûоͽˡٷһҳҲռǿʼ
޵ڽˡڵˣ֮Ҫ
ǽ죿
֮ʣȥ˽ص˵ͷڳվǰʱ䣬һСʱ˵ǵ·֪ͨҪȡҲ˵æչʵĽڡ

һ۴ͷӣȷڵʱ䡣һʮ֣ռƻĻǴҪʮӺŻûҪæ뿪ҡ㱻ԼҲһΪռдĺϷŵ£ڴŪŵġǴǼڿοİɣԼжµô׼Ȼ̲ס죬֪ҲǴϣģܸ߳оͱ䵭ˡοռҲдˡϲԵ˽͵ǲ̵סģ
֮ռǣýľ˵ļƻع⡣
ڿأ˵ýҪϷȹĻƨɾͻ¶ڿҪʲôأ̫εҲãǶֿĻ̫ͨˡ
ҡҲϲֿ㡭ĺܰ
أؿռǡ꾫иȫز
ʵһжռдһƻȷʵʵеġԼڿ㡣
ռǴдôһڴ֡´Լȥɡ
ʱ̽Լأǣ֮ռǷǰ棬ͷʼ
һһǶǰɷһܼɵĸ졣
д˲һйȥҪŬӱվȣһ滳һȰԼ뷨һɲճɷĻصţдÿ顣
һڴģҲԼ⡣ᵽ֮һֱĴڡһɷʱĴʹµҡԻŮġ
ͻȻɥ֮ʹȴõĸ飬ű˵ȥٱȼȣֱڶԼ¶
ҲǣһֱһֱϲǴС㰡
ؿжȣ֮ʼڴź㽵δ˵Ϸ
һǴԤϣ֮Ŷȥͯһ̡һʵҲڼ֮ڣǻȻ֪


2СĶϷ

ڲ֪ʲô
ڳվǰĿʱǴһլļ֮
ǷǱأûŪϷŵڿ㣬ߵռ𡭡
ɷ˵һ˳ģΪԷǸ˼ڵꡣԼǿҵĸ˵óɼ㣬ڸķҲܺõģĶӡɷ˵ֶ·жˡ
¾ͻ֪ˣ
ֱһۣǴվѾˡ֮ռƻȻؼȥɣεļƻʧҲνջֶͶˡ
˹Ǵؼҵ·ȥ;п⽫µĿӽ⿪һţմ˺ˮصĹȼ¶ȹ´Ķֿڲסëһ
һˣ
ڴصŴ򿪡֮ܿرӿ̽ͷ
ףô˰
ᰡ;нӵȡ֪ͨ˵ǽʦͻȻأ
˵׼ǫ̃ʣһЬһ۲ż֮ɫȻн䣿
Щ죬òǶڽڴıְɣ
ˣðɣ
һ¥ݣװµʡ
˯ءǸҪ𣿡
ףҲรҪ˯˿ɾ鷳أ
֮Ļ٣Կٵҡ
򿪷ſŷӡһۿûʲôı䣬Ǵǰֻ·ӣóպǿԷ֣·޺ռǵλöб
ǣ̫˰
˿һжսűдĽš
Ǵվھǰѵ˿󣬽ȹΧ˼Ρɹ²幫ֵȹֻҪ΢ǰͻ߹⡣
ţ
žԼ¸ص˵ͷ
Ѿ֪ԼջҲûʲôõǹ¶Ǵ󵨡̲סҲν͵ϮҲûϵֻҪ֮¾ĵĻǾõĽʵֻǵһȷ̵ļ裬ٽֻҵˡ
Ǵ˿侲һº󣬱̤֮ȴŵĿջ̨
ι֮Եû
µſԼ۾ɵôļ֮
û
컹ʱɣȻѵãȥݿม
ʶߣŤ߽Ų̋һ΢Цһ׼ϡ
ʱȽˡ
ѽСҲ˰Ҫʲô𣿣
Ҫι磬ȥ
Ǵҡҡͷ󣬱ɳļ֮Ͳϲ֮
ðһร

С˼Ұ
ſȺ͵˹һµؿڡ
Ȼˡˣɣ
̨ʣ֮ŵöһü
дõĽűȴ򽡶һ仰ˡ
Ҫ統

˴˶Կһۣ΢΢̾˿ԶƵʧϮ
ǵģһˣֻҪıսƻͺˡʵͲڴԹϣֻҪ˵Ϸؼü֮Լͼ͹ˡǴȺ͵õǰ˵
ǵȳ군รĲݮร
ţ
ǴſЦڼ֮ԱʵҪڿҲףǰʵҲҪпڿ㣬Ҳƻˡ
һŽĽűվȥ
ͻȻŲӽǴת
찡ȹӱ
ݣ
۰
֮ĶϷȻһֻصƻϡֿ㡢ƨɶ¶
֮𣿿˰ɣ
һ׷ܵб͵֮һȻı飬Ҳ֪𰸡
ǵģ
һŴ̽ͷĽ߻ɳ
СͿʼɫأ
ڼ֮ĶºǴ˵

ֻ֮ǸЦţˣѾ˰ɣΪΣ⽫΢΢ǰ
ѽѽͱ˰
е˼ڷӦϷ֮ġǴü֮עʱ⽫ǵƬϡ
ǵģ
ŵĹڵϼɢһصƬƨɿ֮⳯
ɣǶֿร
èһ쳤ĻȹƨɵƵر𡣱ֿסңαȫ¶

ǰĹ⾰̲֮ס߼ڿĵײǴĹɼͼ֮벻һߣź񲼵شĽͻ״ɼ
ŵĲֻ֮ոնĽ֪վڼ֮ԡͻȻǰҵʳָͻ׼صƨɵĹȼ䣬Ȼ󡭡
۰
ŽǴĸűʳָˡ
ĹܵĶϷ
ף
ͻȻĳֱ죬ǴȫӲֱĹֻһΡ
ɱɱȫɱSSEһǧɱأ
֪ѧ̨ʣһķأڿشǴɷ򿪷ĵڶ
ޣѽޣʲôꡭţסְš
ʵ򲦿ˣǴ޵ֿ
ƻ֮ŮʢĴֱ̼Ů壬ҲΣòʹڼ֮ǰܵ巣ʵҲ
֮ڿŰҡҡţᣬа˲ˡȫڲ·ҲҺͣ˵һ㡣
ԸϾͱʵˣͻȻöָشѨ
š
Ǵ̲ס˲
ʹ׶ָڵǴԣԴ赴ãϼ֮Ӽ飬ǿҡ
ѽ
Ϊе̫ŵôǴıߡ
֮ŵһԣֱǴĹ
ڿ׷ˮգɫĺۼ
ǵģϰ磡Ҫú㣬һҪรָǺǴϽվֲŬơ
ᣬǰԲร
ŵͷǴӵȥúõԼݣȻԼ֮΢Ц
Ǹ⡢ûʲôõǸģ
Ӳļ֮ҡҡͷ
Ȼ󣬽һǴɫһǸػص˸ʮ˵Բ㲻Ҫ衱
´Ļҿɲรû
֮󣬱ֻèعԹԳʣµĵ⡣
֮һ˷δݵأɳϣɼ̲ѡʱҪըƵزţڿűɽָһ㡭


3;

ǣҲˣ
һۿӿҵĽ֮俧һںȹ󣬴ɳվ
Ҫȥ˰
ǰѾ̫ˣ
Ȼúܿϧղŷ£ôҲ޷侲
Ǵʱţͣؿ鵽ڿ㡣ռǺ˽Ǵ⣬ҲжĻᣬͱԼŮˣ治֪ùϵһοûҪ̫ռҲдӦԼԼȥ
ôأ㲻Ҫô˵
ǣ´ټ
һأȴǴڡȻǴҲˡ
ˣ´һȥɣǽл񡭡ҪԸԸ↪
ԸԸ⣡Ǹͷˣ
Ǿ͵ȷ֮Ҹط
ǸҲԡαȽ٣ֻϵ磬ʱҲԡ
ȲˣһҲܶ˶ʱ⡣
ǲɣҪأĽ̲סЦ˳Ǵ˵
õģأ
ԵĻ޸ҵõӢỰһ²СΣ𣿡
µؽַڼϣյʱɽǰĽ룬ýϸ˵
ԣûģ
ǣΪ˷磬Ըֻ𣿡
绰֮Ǵſڡ
þûԼأڴ
ԼԼ𣿡
һ仰С¹ײǷԼлᵱأ
ԲรŷɣԼȤรҺ˿ʮ
ŲŷɣҴǰ͡͡ƯǸ
˵ţջĵò
ллҺøأ
Ǹ
嶯ؽսҪǰأֻֵľʱǴȥ
Уڻ̫ˣ죬͵
Ǵһźļ֮աﲻؼԺһ
֮һΰصصԼļҡһνܵԵǣһǸ˼ҹδˡ

ص󣬼֮ȫڴϡ˵õһˣôҸ£һƬҡ
մڿ㡢ռǡĶϷǡδǴĹϵĳڴţиֹ
˰ǴС㡭
źδ˵Ϸɼһ̡
ֻŲµˣĳ˵ʵǵġ
ԳŮ˵ʹֻ𣬵δģǰ
Ǵ˽⡣;ֻϵģǶȥĵ




Escalation4ȫ԰

1Լ

Ȼȥรټ
Ŀν֮æ׼Ҫ뿪˾˵
ʲôڵҮһ
ƣ첻У
֮ҡͷҳڡԼʱһ㣬JRվǰʱǺ֣ܳһԼ᲻ٵ
ʲô°
ҵȥ㶫
֪֮ԼǴĹϵûǱκ֪ԷǴڵδˣԼǸһֳġ
Ҹʱ䣬ˣ
Ͻ뿪ѧУԵĻϣʹ˾ͬһ糵Ϊ˾޿꣬ȥ
û˰ɣ
Ķ㿪˴˾ʱͻȻֱסˡ
ȵȺشȵȰιιι
ͷͣ½Ų֪ԭΡ
ﰡҸʱ
ͻȻӲ»ˡѻ̿㡣ڿ˾ĵƬ֮󣬱̲סװǳ
ʲô𣿡
ǸҪҪﾶ
ﾶͻȻ
ͻȻǰͺ˵ˣһǧ߲ܵ𡱣SSEעӽ緭ǡʮߡʮ㳤룬ġǧ档
û
ӳѡ̫٣ڿʼֵġԣܳΪƵģشĻһԣ
ƣҶﾶûȤ֮ǰҲܾˡܲʲôȤֻ˶ѡ
Ҫ˵ԿϲĻ˳ͺ˰
ĵؽս˵䲻¸
ţǰ
ĴԡһͷԽؿϰΣȥһοҲ
ʲôϵμϰ֮ս
Ǵɫпܰɣֽ֡ʱ˾
ʲô
Ҫ˵
ŵطſ֣֮θϽ͡
ΪҪﾶӵΣȥû취μӴ˰
˵ֻǱĆ
ǸҲûϰ͵ǲܰ㱣֤
㱣֤Ҳҿǿɣ
˵꣬㳯ȥ
ȵȰǵģ󱿵
뿪
ιǼһһϲ㣡
˾׷
˭֪
װĮУ֮ߵվȥ;еȺ̵ʱ˾ͻȻʡ
ˣ˵Ҫȥȥﰡ
ޡ
ʲôԭˣҲȥأ
Сѿڶ֮һֻ̾˿˵
ȥĵ갡
ǣҪȥйŵ꣬ҼǵҲ˵ȥɣ
ǰǽҲ㡣
һģ֮ӿŲ߽վ˿ٵ糵
㵽Ҫȥʲô
ڳϣ˾ԵŴ⾰ɫļ֮׷ʡ
òǣȥԼ᣿
ͻȻô˵
ΪĺְܹҺܷƵġ
ûаˣ㡣
֮˸ʵҲǺĻ⿪ʡ
֮֮ǰԭƬңβƬ棬ô£
ף𣿡
Ѳɡϲβ
ǱĴ˾֮һʣһת
ǣһ㡭㲻˽Ҳûϵ
ô˵ͦɰİ
˵Сѡ
ǡ𣿶԰Ȼۣû뵽Ĳҽɫʱֱһأ
ɫݣ
ֲʲôСֵ¡
˾˵š
ƽģĽɫݣȤȫȤ
ȫ
ͱһЦô˵ʹ˸е
ãشÿһ˶бкܶһʼܲΪȻһ˾أڲŻôĻһпŮӶأ㿴ĵأ
ҺөĻݵ֮ǰһŮӶŮ
ǾŮӶ𣿡
ΣǲǺܿɰ
ǺܿɰΪ˿صȥҶԭİحϸβҮأ
ףβ
ϸһȻΪõ۾ƽܲͬȷҸоǸεŮ
أβĺÿɰร
˾ؿ˵Ƭ
ڣ糵˴յվޡ
ǣҸʱˣ
ȻԼɣô䵭˵ýŮҪܵ𣿡
˭˵ðҲԼᡭˣ
Ӵ˾ĺУ֮תΪڷȥ
ɡ
Լصļ֮ػعͷһȻ˾Ӱ

ţشʲôֱ飬ûи㣬ֻǸպöѡ
ʱǴҲԼĵصˡ
أʮءѽѣ
һۼ֮ԵĴ˾Ǵʡ
ǰպټ

ŴڵĴ˾ԹԵ뿪ˡ


2Ϸ

ôҪʲôأȥӰ
õģҶԣ
ƽһԼļ֮ŵص˵ͷ뵽ԼȨǴѣ˷ܲѡ
Ǵڿ£ֱˡëǿʮˡϥ幫ֵİɫȹ¶ȣɢųŮ˵ζ
ι룬ôǶ˵İ

ӰԺ;У֮ΪͻȻѯͷ˼
Ҳ԰˵ܡʦѧ֮࡭ô붼νȻĻɴǿ˲Ҳ԰ɣ
ǡǰ
ȻҪһС
˵껰ס˼֣֮鷿ѹֱۡ
ջҡǴСҲǸ㡭
˿ڿˮ鷿ĴУ²δ˵˼һҲڴŻľٶ
ȻĻ͸ӦúѵõԼᣬ䲻֪ʲôزԼһĻδҲ̫ûˡ
ǣǸӣ𣿡
ִǴֱ۳ֱ§ס
ţȻΪ֮ҵ
Ȼǡأ
۲ǴķӦֻƨɣظ
ǵģôรС
ŶϷ΢ЦǴ߽˵
ڿʼԼء֮һֱҵƨ𣿡
ǰ
֮ʵص˵ͷȻЩ˵ߣɫǰشΡ
ȻɫءǣӰ𣿻ǣȥOKأ
OKҳã
֮룬ڵĵӰԺȽлɳˣڵ״㸧Ĵȡ鷿ӦҲܾġǴȻҲ̬
ǣڰȽϰԶ˶
Ǵʾţ
ǣ͵OKɣ
ţǾôˣ߰ɡ
OKİиLεĴɳ֮ȻؽǴ
ǡҪʲôأ
Ǹҡ
ŵݸѡǴ֮ҡҡͷһֱȻԼԸ˵˳
ңԡ𣿡
ǴЦЦؽ۾ϣ촽жʾԼĻش
ôҾ͡
Ųѵļ֮ؽϡʼ˱΢ʪĴ
ҡǴСأ
ǣĴѣԣֱ˲䡣ҸûнһǣͼջǴԣǽʱ

׷Ŵļ֮Ĵ㣬Ǵѹȥ˱ϴ´ض˵
ſ˵ǣ
ãõģ
ͷſ˽ȥͷסҺڣ˱
ǡǴС㡭šţ
Ϸɿż֮ضţȵؽҺֻ˲еϷԼֺҺİǴֿ
ѵˣʲôɣ
ǣϳɣ
֮㱵أ§סǴļ磬ַĴϡ
ҲԡˣİɣϲӡǲԿʣҪร
Ϸ
˵Ǳߵ֮ͨǰԷʲôС
Ǵָǰȡ
أ
Ҫ棬Ǹ
˵һรˣҲҴá𣿡
ЦȻ֮ôҡͷ


3Ѿõش

Ǿʹˣ
ѡ֮Ǵ˷磬ŴөĻֿʼ

֮һǴĲһ涢өĻǴϰ߳裬ʹȻһ䡣
ˣ
ףƭˡ
ȥǵŶ԰
ôõĻᣬô׷Ź
ѽСط
У˾ǴˣҪܴ
֮ĵš
ǵģรðɣ֪ˣ
ţҪʲôأ
ڣ˾֮ǰ
;Ǵ˷ЦЦ
㲻ҲʧรҪֵ̫£Ҿ͡
ǣҲ𣿡
Ǵвزס顣
۰
ʹ֣ԸеƨɸΪĴУȫ
ţǵġ֮ɫม
ΪǴ
ſڣȻı·ֻǿXӦûɣֺٽȹڿ㡣
ȻǴˣ̫ݼŭɲã˳СĵĻӦÿԸɣޱ߼ʵ
ڷۺɫ˿¶ֱ㱻ѹס±
ˣո˾ˣ
ף𣿡
ɵؿ
ģûϸ㲻ԣɣ㣡

µ벻ร
֪ҳ
ӣѡÿ춼ӡȻûڿOKʺܶɼ򵥣ȫǵáοǾŵġ
ףǸ
ĸо̫һȫ֪￪ʼڡ
źҪร
֪
迨ڴ룬Լʲô
òǹⲻҪ۸㣿
ĿӱذϸŪӲӲͷȵʡ
ûء
ûУôأ
һ˳ŴȻ£ָ˴¸ĹȷӲȰأѹŵ

ȫ˼Ƥ̲סŤΪڽ֮ǰѴԵ˷״̬УƨɾͿʧȥԡʱȫղ鷿ͷͱʪˡ˵ŮԵָҲǵһΣǸſḧҪ
ΪǶ˷زҲǵһ𣿡
ǣǰ
Ҳѹֻأ
ưסиָͲش˴ס
Σǲе
ҧ´˵ͷʵֻѣȥʱҪˡıͯҲ̫ûˣţһֻϣ˿㾭
û˾ءôҪʲôأ
˵ţǴԥؽɿڿ¶˳
ѽʲô
˹ͷݵ֭ҺǴؽս
۰ȡȵȡ
֮æؽɼס˼ڵԣ˿Һմʪڿʵ̫ˡ
Էร
ɡǡ
ʲôǣǴร߹ԹԱˣôƤ

Ƥԭ
ҡҲŲأ
֮æϡ
ǣӣ˭᲻˼
㺦ꣿûϵģڿĻɣַſͽร
ǼС˵ţȻڿסĸͣ´ָ̼࣬ףһķӦһ
ˣˡ
ȻǻĴ꣬͵޵ļ֮ǿҵġΡǰԣ侫Ϯ
ǧһ֮ʣˡԱǰ˹ȥ
˽ˣ˾ˣӿǴ֣æϡ
١ֻˣ
ǣҾͳ
Ǵѡһ׸衣֮ĸһϸضŸʿ

ᣬ𣿡
µѾûʲôúˡΪǴҲԼϷԼ֮ģǴѹ
۰
ʲôรûɣ
ǡûǡ
ûʲôÿǵģҲ˰԰ɣ
ش𣬱㽫ȹ˵Ĵȼ䡢˿ס¸İɫεĲ¶˳

ؿδ˵ڿ㣬ǰٸеһۡ˿ᱡĲ£ë״Լ͸˳˿İסķѵڰ㣬سԽɼ䣬ŮֳƬƬӲţװ⡣
ᡭҪһֱſ
ֻҪΪˣҲ
񼢶ްؼٵشϢţʳָ˿˳ŹɼԽɽڿĵײָʼѹĹȼ䡣

δйĴУü̲֮ססΪָڿ˿࣬ش档
ңǴССѨ
˷ܰΧţ棬ָʹοʼ涯ƤҲ쳣ůоóȼš
аĻ
ǴŤȣ֮ѹס
ԶรǴû˾أ
Ǵֲ⿪ȣֱڿĵײȻʪ󣬵ΪﲼԿǿóС״֪ʪŮ˷֤ݡ
ǴС㡭ʪأ
Ǵٴνֶסղݣꡣ
ȡȵȰšš
ʪأ
ָһ룬ҺյĲſزıҲ֭մʪǼ⴫Ů˵Գĳ

ջսɼ䣬
ζССѨġǴССѨζ
΢΢ĺĸζڿζͬǴڸзḻζ
ᰡҪŰ
ǣŰ
˵ű㽫ǼڳĹĦɶţ֭Һȶ߳ؽѹѴ
Ӧû°ɣӦûɡ
ڿǲģ֮ǴزδŮζ뿴ҪʱſһλŮ
ˣˣˣǴæȹá
ɣѡɣҪǴˡ֪ɣ
֮ǰȥ
У˵òˣģ
ˣԡ
Լ¸иѣȫû£Ҫǽܴһᱬ㽵Ůǰܵġ
ҪǴ˵ĻֵزûҪˣֱȥˣ֮ûļȨϣԼҲֻܹԹԵǴ翴һ㣬ŪԼҲ˵
谡
֪ˡǾװɣ
ѡͨû˲ᳪڶʱȫ֪ˡ
ϧҪรо˰ɣ
Ǵ֮¸ѵȣסǱҺմʱҪըĲ
ذĦŲG裬ִͲúּż֮
ĻҡѾ
ѾѾι
ķӦǴٶټӿˡ
ˣˣסְ
ŤѹסûãͷĦţȫܣƵ˾İҺ
š䡢ᣬǵģѾ˰
ͣҵشǴĵ˵ţͻȻҺһľζᡣ
ѣ˰
԰뿪ЦǴԵҧס´ˣǴĻеԼСѧϿʱܰѿ
ôˣ

ҡԡԲûгЦ˼
Ǵڲ˼ϸ˵˼꣬ԼĻ˵̫ˡ
ĶԲҡ̫ˡûϵûʲôöģһζģ
رסڶ˵
ûϵģΪİǣԲҺ˺ˣ㣬ԭҰɣ
ûûϵҡȥһ£
Ǵ֣ϣǱοǾԼҡ
Ҫɾ
ϵʪֽĽǰ̧ѯš
ҿ𣿡
ˡҪˣ
һҪ޳ӣҡҡͷٳˣҺŪǸ
ҵҲȻ㿴Ϳ˰ɣ
Ǹ
һ仰۾ֱǴ
ȫ㿴ֻҪ뿴ĵطȫ
˵һ룬㽫ѵȴ򱻾ҺŪڿ˵š
ȻҾ̫ˣǡǣһֱͼ֮
Ǵꡣ
ǲԵġǣԸ⣬Ǿͺúõɣ
˵Ǹ
ǰ
Ǵɵػش󣬾ؽڿǿҵľ˱ǶþΥŮȻϸСĵòžҺ
ǴС㣬ҡҪͯ𣿣
ȻڴѾˣȴû뵽ڳԼ͵õȫ˸ղŵ߳ܣδ
֮ھ͵ͣ
áõģ
عڿ㴩
ǣ߰ɣ⸽Ҹط
ǴԼ̤ϳ̨ϵ⽻


4ͯ

ǰùݰ
Ǵסùݵһ䷿ƮƮȻڣһ˫˴ͷҷǽǰŴ͵Ӻͱ䣬˫ɳšԼĲͬУΨһ뵽ùݵıŲԡҶѡ
ɣȥɣ
վڷļ֮§˹һʽǺҪȥýϵ׼
õģ
ڻشʦѧһ˵ͷϽԡҡȼԼԡңкܳݵĿռϷԡҲܴȥеĸоŵ޷е衣ʢһή˳壬ΨرϴɾʮӱΧԡ߳ԡҡ
ǣҲȥ裬ȵһม

ĿǴԡңɳ˳ִ򿪵ӣתתȥʵھĿǣһԡҵˮվڷơʱͷϵķõıףٶʶԼ˳ȥ֮ģеһĨԷϵŮ԰̵ϸأ
ڣˮֹͣˣǴΧԡԡ߳
õˡ
ᡣ
̲֮סߣڴʶβ˫ա΢ʪǰˮζôȣɵøеһš
ûϵģɵ㡣
򦣬ǴؽصͷĽĽš
뿴ҵ𣿡
롢뿴ҿ
صͷ
ţˣκεطŮ˵ÿ䶼ȷϰɡ
˵űɿԡ˳żڵϣһ˿ҵŮǰ

ǰ̲ס̾˿¸˵ڣFֱľͦرΣõɫĽ~ϣССͷͦţĻȺβһжлԾɢΣɫ壬ϵɿ˵ɫ
ɢë΢͸ɫŨȣڳŮԣ˵ǾжԵĹĸͲϲ𣬵޷㣬ΪҪѻڴֻ̽һѡ
ǡǸ
ţ֪뿴СѨ԰ɣ
ǡǵģҡ뿴С⡭
˵ȥӼΪǱ
˵Ǹʾ˷˰ɫĻһ𣿡
ǡǵģ
û⡭ɣɫСѨϸร
ڴϥ֮Ǵ˵ܵĻȻſ
СѨรģҵģС⡣Ѩ
ϸȫŹɼһ㡣Mſȼ䣬Ůشڳǰ
ۡ۰
ͶԪϲͬʵŮü֮̾ѡ͵ʺ񷢴Сⴽţˡ޷Ǵ˵һݣΣȴһҲ顣ΪŮԵԸǳĻ԰
㿴ǣˡ
˽࿴˽ԸǴָսѣƤ÷ۺɫ¶˳
뿴һ㣬԰ɣ
ʳָߴ⿪
֮Ͳʼ߼ɫճĤϣ۲ͻ˺ڣڡ
棬ҵ
ǿŹͷ֭ҺоСͻ侫İܡǴҲоߣ΢΢ŵ͸Һ˳
ɣҿġ
֮عڴϣԡ⿪¶¸
ŸѾôء֮ĺôรܰأ
ŴͣǴţⲢǿ׻ƽߴ׳Ǵ󲻳ġ
ʱкܶ࣬ɣ
ǸҡѾǸ
ԲͰôԪٶһҲûɣ

ߵЦŵ˵ͷʱ򣬸оҪ伸û⡣
Ҫรúõؿมţ
Ǵͷ¸иӸϸµɦŰ¶Ĺͷ
Σ𣿡
桢
ͷش𣬲ֻĿУ⿴ǴԼиĹ⾰ܲˡ
ôźౣౡ
Ų⾥ǴǱҺʪڣ̧ż֮˱Źͷϵ֭ͷػתţƤذ
źءۡ
¶ÿںסͷƶ´ҺԵס
áð
ÿһͷδйñϮ糬Խͽ޵˵̫ϿĿ顣ͷڿڻļй£һӱ˰ǵҺ塣
šššš
ͻȻıҲΪǴ͵ɶҺסȵֹķָһξҺȻ󡭡
ࡢࡢ๾࡭
侫еļ֮ϸϸĺš
ˡҵľҺ
δжԷ¾ҺԸɵؽкµŮ˵ΪǴѵݳ
˺öءǣû԰ɣ
ǡǵģһûûأ
ϣ𣿡
ԵģϾ
Զ촣ҪϢ
ãϡ¡
ǴҲ޷ȥˣҪ֮ڴ룬մҺиϱס
һ룡
ڼ֮Ϸʽλͷش
㿴ˣио𣿡
иоио
͹ͷһ𣬵ͷǰ˼ݵʱһѹȸС

֨֨۵ذĦУиûʹűԿɸоŵиÿ䶼մҺֽڹĿС
ůģů
Ů¶ȣߵĸ룬ʵʵظܵճĤ
Ҫٽȥšȫ桭
ޡȥ˰ȥˣ
ƨڴϣܹײһ𡣹ͨ·Ĺͷӹıڡ
ô󡢶ˡҪร
Ǵʼضֵ֮鷿ʼͯ
ޣมšţ
ŤţͿڽ޷ȵۣ˷ĿаĴСƨɵĵ԰áԾģյ֭ҺڱǴûֹͣΥζȻҵİڶ
šáðš̫ˡǿҪϾήĲҵѹ񣬶ٿʼˣ֮ؿʼԼ
ޡԡ԰
ӣ𰡣
ʮĽֱӹ
ฺ
ްǴ䡣ſʹͿֵı飬ҡг
ౡౡౡౡ
иÿһͣڱҵɫ
ǴСҲΪҶе
ǰδҵŵݣＤѡ
֮»ζľ飬ͣ롣
ţšţСˡޡޡ
Ů忪ʼһţȫ΢΢ţһöһöΣѹһ
й𣿰й˰
ԵأǴƵ㡣״޷ü֮е㣬λλ
ţа˼һûûţ
ǴĿ飬ʹȫؼнƨɽͳ
áðҪйˡ֡ҪйˣСˣ
ð̫˰
߳ۺζУ֮Ҳ̲ס̣δ̫֮ͣͣӶ˷ŰĿǴĴش飬δسи
ǴԼŮˣֻԼˡδ￪ʼС




Escalation5㣿

1ɬ԰֮

Ҵ˺üͨ绰Ү
ѧ󣬴˾
ιŮˣ˭
Ӱɢĵشյʡ
Ǹòᣬڽɣ
ûϵɣ
ſȥʱѯʸںĴ˾
ˣ𣿡
ǰǣòڽվʶİɣ
֮⽫תƣ˾ֽء

֮Եʼ磬޷ʵ˵Ǹڵδˡ
ι´Ҳܸʶ
ι˵
֮ϴ󲻸˵صŴ˾
ǴСŲˣ
Ǵ
ܡ֮Ҳܸ
˵߳˽ҡ
ȵôֻģضѰҵģûģضʲôƬĵĻҲһ
˵Ļоûʲôã
Ҫô˵Ȼг͵ģ
֮Ҿܾ
Ҫô˵̸̸Ҳй©ȥģò
ǲ˰ҿûʲôܰ
ץԼ̨ʣһ졣Ȼ⹫ҲûᱻвȷǵǴЩ⣬£ֻڶ˵ܣû˻֪
»ǲҪȥȽϺãϾǻǸϵŮѰҪҲлҲ뽻
ɣ
źĽı飬֮Щص˵ͷ
֮Ҹ̸̸ô˺ҵġοǸ˻Ǿأ
ʹ˵Щ³ԼŮѱ佱ĸо֮ţʵĸоǰòأ
ֻҪˣ˭ģ׶󰡣
žʮҰɣ
มѾ֪˰
ʹ˰˶
֮Цģʡ
Ǹ˵ĻǮȻҲܷѵģ𣿡
֪ˣ̸̸֮˵
֮룬ģض⹤㲻ǴҲȤҲá
ǵҪʲôƬأ
˶Σûʲôɣ

˶Ҳк̸ܶ࣬ӦǿӾװɣȻˣԼҲ뿴ҲҫһǴҪķװͣԵɶ˼أ
Ҽɣ㿴֮ǰĵƬӦҲĵɣ
԰
ǴܶûмԤʼӢϿˣÿ춼顣Ȼ֮ʱ̿κԼᣬҲǿ֮ÿ϶õ棬ϺˣҲÿ춼ùԶӦûкܶʱദǴ˵Ḻж̻ζֻҪҪ嶼ΪҲûҪ̫ꡣ
ŵĻ⣬Уȥ;ͻȻԭε
شһȰ
벿µĻҾܾ
ԼΣϽһ仰
ͻȻô˵
㲻Ҫ̸𣿡
Ҳǡ
δŵı飬˴˾һۣʾ뿪
Ȼȥˣ
ιȵȰҪȥҲҪһߣ
Ͻס˾ʱҪζոоܹ֣ҲԼģһҪ˿ɾ鷳ˡһĶʹԼЩӣԲʧȥ㽵ĸо
Ǹ¶гУս
̾˿δŲı鿪ʼ˵
Уս
ţÿ꼯ĸУĶԿսΪԽУս
Ǹǣﾶӵģ
ţԵĻҪǿ˵ĻһҲﾶģ𣿡
Ǹһȥأﱨ
ûڸ˵
ٺٺ٣Ǹร
һμӰ׺Ͷ׵ģս2㡣ҿʤأοʱǵһأ
รʱĻ˽Ǽ¡
ļ£
Ǹˣԭ㲻ǻҪϰУսร
ץŽֱۣæתУվ˾ƵƵͷŴͷɥΡ
û뵽䵭ԭǼһ￴ÿղűܾһҪ޳أ
ûоܾ
˾ĻеЩʹװ¡
ûȥɣû취СǴСɣǸ̫ˣôԸУҪѡĻȻѡϵŮ˰
ƤЦضļĴ˾֪֮Ҫشʲô
ҪѡȻѡ֮Ůɲ˵ȻΪĿġͻȻãԼҪֻҪǴѡʹˣҪǴҲǼٵġõѾõŮԣֻҪúõҸͺá֮˵ԼӶҡԻġ


2Ů

ᡢܲˡʲôҵô˰Ŀż֮ıӰѹ̾߻Уᡣ
ţǼԼĸԣ͸ɴײ͵ˡ뵽ҪǱܾͲлᣬ޷̤һֻм֮һˣΪ˽ӽⲻдҵʼǡﾶӣ뾡ַȴȫûκνչ֮⾿Σȫ˽⡣ҪУսֻҪ취ʱҲԼһλᡭ
ǵģǼһÿζţĺᣡ
ȥϰ
ת׼ϰУսһҪӮȻϣ󣬵㲻ü֮
˶׼ȥϰʱͬͬѧβͻȻڽҡ
ιΣ
С鰡㻹ûؼҰ
ţʵ
ң
ǸҲԼﾶ𣿡
ţӦÿ԰
ǿ鷳ҸôأҪʲô𣿡
һô˰ôͻȻһΪĿϵأ
Ǵٶ𣿡
Լôģ
Ҿ÷ǳٶۣ˶㡣
Ϊʲô룿
š𣿡
ҲǲУֻϰ֮࣬Լ벿ʽμϰɣ
Աûƣϱ˵ԸҲءҲһʱܲѵԼжҪҪͺˡ
벿ǣ쵽ﾶӵƷ𣿡
Ʒ
ǸҺҪֶ㣡
ʲô
Ī̲ס˳˾ʲô
òΪҪǼİɣ

СǸֵŮ
ųͷˣסˡ˵ʲôҲ޷š
ôҪ㲻룬Լȥ򲻾ͺ𣿡
򲻵أ˵ֻ嶩
ֿĳȻЩﾶõĶֻ嶩һﲢ򲻵
ΪʲôҪûŮӻ봩ֿӰ
𣿿㲻ǳ𣿡
ǰҲ봩Ŵİ
ţҾܺÿοǵƬ
֡ţͬѧ
ɬı飬⡣òΪ봩
ǸͻȻôʲ˼รС㣬ѲǶԽ
ţ
ס
ʲô˼죬Ρ
ûУûʲôÿ˸ϲ
Σ˵ʧม
ԲԲ𣬲Ҫǣôģ
ҾǶ˼ģΪҵƬҡҴ򹤵ĵط
۵˵š
ףڴ򹤰ʲô
ŮŮӶ
Ů˽⣬ŮӶʲô˼
ŮӶŮӶ

˿Ů۶˲ƣοĿɿڴԭԣֻ̿ɫݵĵߡЩʧ񣬵ʼ˻ͦġ
Σôˣ
ףûʲôֻеΡ
Цҡҡͷ
ðɣ岻ĻҪȥϰȽϺรǱίԱҴȥҰɣ
ûû£Ϊ㡣
ף
ҲǽﰡţҾò
ȴҲʣŬЦݴ
ϲͺ㲻ͬһǡ
شͬѧ԰ɣ֪รشӦҲϲ㡣
˭֪Ǽһʲôȫ̫ٶˡʵϡˡôҪ̿Ұ㶩ˣﾶӵľͿ˰ɣ
ţ
ߴأ
ţMɣ
L𣿡
ҿ𣿡
ҲǸ˼οڰزִ󡭡ãҺĽأҲֻAѡ
ţͦСġ
һɰأƽ˵š
ιι㲻Ҫشô̫Ļû취˰
Ҳ԰ҲôãҲУ̫ˡ

ͦüͷ治֪Ȼǹ⣬Һò˾ò
ˣҽ㶩һܺյΪ٣լͿ԰ɣ
ǸԵĻμϰһΣǸ𣿡
ǡνòڽʱ
ţ
ĺ֣ȥϰˡ
һΪʲô˻봩̿㱻ĵ뷨γﾶȥʱҲʼʶԼÿҲˡƽûʲôоﾶƷ֪Ϊνر˾


3ο

̿㰡
Żصҵڴϣ˵¡Ǽ֮ϣĻԼôأ
𣿸㲻ءĻɡ
Ȼڽʱúɵ־úͬС
ǻǲϲأϲµѡ
˶̿ó
뿴뿴Ҵģ𣿡
Լڼ֮ǰ̿㣬ȿ£ˮմʪ㡣

ƽΪ˷߹⣬涼ᴩϰȫ㡣պȥȫ㣬ֱӽ㴩ϡ
Σʺ𣿲Ҳûʲôֵÿĵġ
վھǰ棬һԼ¸ֶð˵뷨ƷԸߵʵؽ壬ƨɵ״ȫ֣ԵӦǳջĹ⾰ɣ
ôã
ΪʪҲΪû׿㣬¸óͻرԣ·˵Ĺһֻǰ͹תĲ̳εݡ
ɫɫร
žе¸ֳɼȥָ¸
˷𣿺شҲһ뿴ɡ
㲻öڿ㲻пŴ˾µҵƬɫ۹⿴Ҵ㡣һ뵽֮㱻ȼ
š
ָƶв֪ѱøˣѿҲʼ΢ֵĦеճĤҲѾȫѪˡ
԰شҲҲɫ¡Ҳ
ԵĻҵοĶҲ㵱ԻʼԺ洩Լͼ֮Ϸ龰ҵС
ƽʱǳοƽ̫ۣѵûȴҪ޷͡
ءش֮֮šҡϲ㰡ĺϲ㰡
ҵظˣԻšҲϲԭһֱڿ㰡
ѡ
ڻﲻļ֮κػش𡣾еԼתߣ¸ʵر¶ϸ׵ĸĹ϶˵ë¶˳ɫŮ˵ĹҲǰȻŮճĤŨĹ֭ӹɼ䡣
֡ᡭúรҪ
ŶϷס֮߰ؽȽաλڴȥTȫ㡣
ˣǸÿˡ
ܾǰﾶӵѧİĦ״ǲݮܿɰȴȴѷɫοߡνóݮĦǶûй˵̫ˣҲ׼˱ס

Ŵ򿪿أɰĲݮ㿪ʼҵ񶯡
ڴϱ۾ִ鷿Ħɼ䣬Լλͼ֮ϡ
ţԵģûϵ
Լ棬һ˲䣬ݮļ˶סˡ
ޣ
һѹ㱳䣬֫޹Ů˵̼е̫ǿˡ
⡢̫ˡ
½ݮŮƣӻػ棬մҺСѹĸ
ޡð
տʼȻ̫ǿҶеŮʱѽ̰Ŀֻ֡ˣڡءǿãݮѹȥ
áðҪ
Ųӱ߳δֱܹԼʵĿֽ٣һﵽ߳

ڸ߳Ժ˼֮Цβ˽⣬ܳΪŮѣȻǱӵֶΣҲ뵽Ů˵ΪʼõŮɡ
ĻܾܾôԾܾ
ҪӪĳأǲǸѧˣֱһ㣬ջȽϺء
СҲǹ֣Ǽһð
ȻԼ谭ϲ˾Ǽ֮ĺѣ˺ԼҲ㲻
԰
Цŵ˵ͷٴνĦѹˡøҡɴˣӭİ




Escalation6ҹӾװɫӰ

1

˭
ٿʼһݣϴԼʮһ㡣֮ϴ˾ĵʱֻʱ˭֮شҺ棬ϱÿʣΪ绰ģǴ
Բรô绰ڣ˵𣿡
ǵģû⣬ʲô𣿡
ûʲôֻ˵ڸʲô
ܵ绰ǲҪɵģǴ˵š
һֱûʱú棬Բม
ô˵ûϵġΪÿ춼Կ㰡
Ϊ˱˶Ŀÿϻͽʮӵɭֹ԰ԼᡣȻѾûڴˣ˵԰ڵβֲʺǱǰϲҰ԰˵ųԼĵصȻҲڽ侫ܵİйԼıǴȴܡҲڽʵڻ޷㣬ĺ
˰ɣ
ڴѰš
ǰһСʱǰصҵġιڵҿ㣬ҲͥԺȥ
õģ
򴰱ߣҵͥԺܿزŴ򿪣ǴӰˡ
ԸаġǴС㣬̫˰
Ǹϴ裬гʪģ֫屻һװס
Ǹڿȥ𣿡
Ȼ̬βһǣһ붼޷ܡҲдŴ绰ġ
ðҲţСı𱻷ร
ϵ绰󴩺·æ߳šʱ˾øΪ˵õӰӾװûرԸеƣֻһ㾺ӾװӰνҪϣǴֻΪԼӾװա֮ۻطװӾװֽλڿӺĿڴС뿪ң밶ҡ
ӭţǸǣ
ӭż֮Ǵָֽѯʡ
ǣǸӾװ
ѽòǸҵ
ģٸ˵Ǹš
Ҳû˵ӶǴĴرס壬ͷŨҵؽ
ǣȥɡ
ҵϷУǴҲ󣬱Ϸķ䡣
¾ΣҪϲ֣´ξ͡
ҺµǴšһ׺װͬǺɫ˿¡
ֻҪǴС㴩ģȫ
ʵ˵Լ뷨ֻҪô壬ʲô¶Ʒһ㡣
ллҺø˰ǣ㲻ظҿֻҪ뿴ʲô¶Ϊ㴩ġ
˴Ǵ£ֻһڿ
ǡȽϲ壿
šţ
ڴϣǰڿǴͷɼ¶⻨֭ʪޡ
ɣ
õģ
æؽ·ѵֱŮ忴ϾͲ룬ڵ¶ˮĶ˵УĴȰ⿪ҪȺúõ±Ů⣬úõζ
㰡
ɼ䣬ڷŮȻŸճ裬ҺֱŮԳ֮˿˳شƣ貿ͲλͿҺذƬ
ššð̫˰
ʹ׾༼ʢδ˶Ҳݣ˲㲪ˡ
԰ɣ
֮а飬Ӹھض࣬ô⣬౵˱š
ޣš
Ů̲ס䣬ǴţŨȻ֭һӿ
ۡˣöడ
ÿһ̼ˣճ֭֮ɵ˱Һ
حŰѾҪ
ţɡֱҲûϵ
֮ס׼Ů˵ĲͷὫ⿪ڶѨһѹȥ

ճĤʵʴеֱ裬ǴʱܱȵġճĤĽкŵĦҲȫ֮ͬΰ̲ס˰Һ

ûϵģȥ
ǴοŰյļ֮һŤش̼и
ǵģҡû
Ǵԣһε侫ή֮¿ʼִͣ飬ǰͳͲ
šûûððţСѨСѨð
С⡭СѨ𣿡
ܵǣŭſҵسš
ðСѨšС⡢СѨ
Ǵȫսţ֮Ĳ֪нѹ
أΣΰ
籩Ǵ۴ţ֮˫̧ѹǰϸŽһ
ҪšððҡѾ졢й˰
ɽиǴֵĶͻ
ҡҲҪҪ˰
ﵽŮǵѹ֮Ҳ̲סӭٽ磬侫һٳͣҵڵľҺҪɽƵġ
Ҫйˡáðð
ȴﵽ߳ǴӹÿײˮӵšҺͬʱڶεľϮǿҵѹ
ʹ˼֮Բ㣬ʧǴתٴӺ潻βȫŮ֮С


2һĵ

⺢̫˰
Ȼ˶иһҲήԺλŮ⡣ʱܹ巢ԳݱнβĲǿƾ׵ľʵ̫˾ηˡȻ鲻㣬㻹´ࡣҪѧ侫ĻԼҪٰ˰ɣ
ǡûܣкöҪ
Ҫ̵Ķкܶ࣬Ǵһ潻βһԼ֮˵šƽԽҪԣΪԷ²Ϊֻҵߣ̰ؿ塣ǴõĲ㡣Ȼδʶįıοɥ֮ʹѿʼעĸԵ뽫һ׸̻ͬʱҲѡȨõķдԼԸռǡ
ޡҪҪйҪй˰ޡޡ
ſڴϣԺʽλͣǴﵽ˵εĸ߳ʱ֮Ҳҵسšǡ
ţȡȵȰ㣬Ϣһ£
æֹ¿ʼ͵ļ֮Ǵϵ⿪
岻ãֲߣร
õġ
ʱ仹ûɣ
һߵӣٹʮ־ʮˣĸ˵硣
첻ùΣҪҪһ㣿
ҪҪ
ȵһ£ȥһ衣
ǴСĵزþҺڿ¼֮ң¥ȥԡҡ߷ǱռǣֻҪһ˵Ļһֺģ̲ס͵Ŷԡ￴أǽİɣһҳдŶԼ֮ĳ޺ԼеĿֻ֣ǷҲνΪϣģдĹڽԸԸԽдűŰԸ棬׺ˡҲ˵ڡ͡һԸġ֮ෳյ̨ʡ滹뱻߳ģ¶֢󡭡
ԵĻɭֹ԰һ壬ֻͷ¶ڲݴ˿Լйʱҵ֮Ϊ
˰ɣ
ŪΪؽ׼佳ǴԼĪʮֺȫĵػص¥ŷ͵֮Ȼռǡ֪ôؽԸʵ
Ǵٴ½ݣ¥
õˣ
µڴϵļ֮Ц˵
ˣ㲻˵ʲôӾװ𣿡
ǰʵǸ˵Ҫ㵱ģض
ģض
ǴͻȻðָе⡣
Բ𣬾ϴԼǼһûģضӰᡣ

ǰҪĻԾܾǣôأ
΢΢ʾſɴģԸ
ֻҪǼӾװͿˣ
ػش𣬽ڴŵֽװžӾ͵Ӿװ
ƷǾӾӾװģضأ
ӾӾװеÿأϲӾװ˺ͦأ
˽˵ãԼɷҲУԳΪͬ͡
أϲӾװ𣿡
Ұûʲô
ѽ㲻뿴
ǴС㣬뱻𣿱˵Ǹʱ֮࡭
ǴͻȻ죬ֱż֮ۡһ۴ߵռǺٽƻ˫ۡ
ԲҡʵǸ
͵˰ɣҵռǡ
̫ˣȻ͵˵ռǣ
߳ܵҧ´ߺ޵صż֮
̲ס͡Բ𡣡
֮ϽϹǸ
ң᲻ϲǴСƨɡţҲ
ǡ
ңǴСȫȫ˽⣡
ҪҲ㣡
رͷȥ
Ҫ˵ĺðǴС㣬ĺððร
ǲԭµɫ֮Ͻ´èӱסƨɹȼ䡣
ǵģôˡģ𣿡
ţ늅ƨѨ˽⊅
ǺðɣĻһģҵ壬ȫ㡣
΢΢Ťѹ֮¸Ǵ˳ؽԼԸתϣ
ôҪ冪ƨɡš
ڴϣ֮ƨɹȼľ⿪޵ĿɫСѨѾһСָۺɫֱճĤõ
ȵȡֱʹģ
ֹҪʳָѨļ֮ǴӳóһǱƽ󻬼ճȸǿЧ־õĸؽרü
ˣȻҪҪԣ
װһʱҰ
棬òɭֹ԰
ôԶ̲ס԰ɣڼͥԺ
֭ļ֮Ц֮ǴӾװʼ֮
𣿡
ţҪĻ
ǾʹҪǱĻӾͲˡ
ͻȻҰ԰֮ӦûŵήɡǴӾװ׼ţӾװЩ̫СΪϾû⣬ǹģȴŮ
Σÿ𣿡
ÿû뵽ӾӾװôԸа
֮ɢŹâ
Ҫľ飬Χ¸֮߼ϣĲϿ̻Ľ
е̫أ˺Ƚϲ԰ɣ
ӵɷһã꿴Ŵ졣Ǵڼ֮ǰŤջ֫塣
ˣӾװ𣿡
Ǵش𣬼֮𳤿ڴλͷ
ȻðΣأ
ð
ΣĵƬ𣿡
ϲĵãǴһ濴΢΢ҺʪͣӶذڳջơ
䣬ɼǿĹ𡣸ָѹ٣롣
۰̫˰
֮ĵֱš
Ӧÿ˰ɣƨɼһ
֮Ǵ˰Ѽ֮ƨָָŸѨλҪӾװ
Ӿװʪĸ¶˳ֱӿʵ̫Ĺ⾰
ɫɣ廹ɫɣҲڿɣ
ߴ꣬ǰ¹µ̨̤˵ĵһ


3A

ɣˣƨɣ
󻬼ϸǴſڲݵϣƨ̵ø߸ߵء
áõģ
һůҹ紵ϣֱ֮űӾװŵΣӾװƨɱøΪȻӾװĶֻо¶˳
˵ֱǿҵɿš
˿ڿˮסڵϽͷȶ˶Ѩ

ͬӲײͷǿҵĽȸоҪ۶Ƶأǲֻһ˲ѣ󻬼£һױûֱ

˲䣬Ůεۣᴩʹãñ˼žҹ
ȥˣȫȥˣ
һͷͨԼź˳ˡץ¸ƨɶܿؾڡֱڳϵؿذסиܹǱӵһ԰ͬһӿӾװĶŭŴ̵Ĺ⾰ǿ˱¸еĸ
ʹ𣿻ðɣ
û£ûϵģ춯ɣ˼뱻֮ɵ߰İ
ǴŤߴ͡Ž䶯űŰԸ
ģһģƨɡǴСĸţҪɵ߰İ
֮ʼͣƵǰش鷿Ҫƨײи
š
ԼǿĦףȱϮ֮ס侫޷ͣͷݼײѹס侫Ƚѡ
Ҳ
ץ˳ؿ侫ŸؽãȮλβš
šţð̫ˡššйˣ尡ƨѨ
ƨɵСѨƨƨѨ
̨ɿĶּˣ侫޷ס
ҡѾҪˣҪ˰
ҵسţڸĦһ߳
ɣйɡҲҪйй
̲ͻѪǿҵʹͿУǴŤͬʱĸ߳Ϯ

ʹȫسţ֮䵹ڲݵϡ˨һɿſľѨﾫҺһ˲䡣
ھеǴŮؽ˳
ССҪˡҪ˰
ǴƨԸ߸ߵţʧˡӾװĲˮɫҺ࣬ڵڲݵϵļ֮Ϸ

ϰӹԡȫеһ˿Ӷ񡣶Դʱļ֮ԣǺŮ˵İҺһˡ
ֵط򡭡ǴС㣬򡭡
ʹ£СˮŵŮƽţӾװŮѣָѹڡ
ҪҪŪѨš
ȫȫ˽⣬ǴСȫ
˵ű㽫ӾװŮ¶˳Ļϸع۲СĿڡһжôɫ飬Сˮ̼£ķи׳ش
ҪҪҪСѨ
̲֮סڳش̽ӹ
ޡû򰡡Űðð
ǴС㣡ǴС㰡
Լڻ⣬δ˵ҵذǴĵԻ󡢱̬Ըл֮ң
Ҳʼе㡭򰡣
ѱ䵭ľҺ󣬼֮иС㽫ſǰݵϵǴӾװʱǴȴˡ
桭ҵ嵱𣿡
⡭
Ů˵Աֱܵĵȫ
ǰǰҡС㰡
Ѿȫ޷ѹסˣ֮˷ܵȫš
ǵģû취ǣðɣҪĻƨɣҵɣ
תɣҪ򲼰ӤƽŮ¹±¶ţָȾ˵ĸѨ⿪

һţ֮Ǵֱ˳
ޣ˰֮桭̡̣Ҫܻ˰ţ
̵ˮǿˮѹǴš

¾֮ʶģļֱ֮ӵǴϡ֪ήͬʱӵıǴĸС㡣




Escalation7δ˵ķաŮ

1ߵ

รʲô£
µĵһ죬ԼĪϾŵҡصļ֮ŵֻҺʾŽ﴾˾֡

죿
ŬػǷкʲôԼ
УսҪȥĻһȥɣ
ǸҲȥˣûա
۷Ĵϣ֮û˵ɱܾΪһ˿ҵǴ
ĸ첻ڼңҹķСһڱ㵱Գԣ֪ϢǴʳģصص»سκССϢһ¡
ˣģض¡ǴС̸̸أ
װͻȻؿڵļ֮Ǵ֪Ǵ˾
ף𣿡
ǰû뵽Ӧأ
̫ˣллҸϿ壬ˣ㴫ϸǼƬϴǼӾװ𣿡
ûɡģҾʹ㡣
֮ȷһϴĵƬȻǾ;ֲдͷҲ㲻пõġûУʱֻҪ棬Ҫ¶ƨɵĶͿˡ
УǴСʱΣ
֪ˣټ
ҵ绰ļ俨ó㽫Ƭ
ǽģ
ǰϵģضǼһ￪ļˣ
ǣҪʲôأ
ҪҴӾװոӦҪ忴ɣ֮ǰĵпõģͿֱӴȥ
ף֮ǰģҪҪҼƬ
ģҲᴫɫƬȥġ
󣬾ڼ֮Ҫ俨ʱөĻǴͻȻˡ
ѽÿɰŮ
ף
һ̧ͷөĻɫתɲҰסөĻϵĻ棬Ǵ̿Ρ
ŮòŮѣ
˵ʲôҵŮѾ㰡
Ǳؼǿ˵š
ǣŮⰡͬУͬͬѧ𣿡
ǡǰԭ֡Ҳš
ڼʰɣǴӶضʡ
ԭʲôأ
Ρ
ԭΰƬӦﾶӵİɣò㣬ִšϲ̿㣿
´յ֮ߣŻһŵؿ
˵ɲĵģǽ͵ĵģԼĹҵġ
ţǽﰡƬ𣿡
ɻڿ¶Ƭ֮ԱǵǴڿϴˬʡ
ǡǼ𣿡
ûа
ƭˣûСɣ
ڼ֮ʪŮѹŴȣֱۡ
ΰʵشңԭͬѧġСε㣬οɣ

ƬĵúأεСѨģѡСѨۼ
¸ӰαָŹɼشݽջ
ˡа򾲵㡢
ʱĻɣ֮ȰɶӡԳεƬǴıϸ˷ܣĦŴȵŮ̫޷ѹסβ
ɣȻˣҲûؼˣ
ףôܣ
ԽһҹԼڣǴֵڿ㡣֮ǸǸ
Բ㲻ĻǸһƬɾġ

ֻһˣҰ
ʵ̬Ȼֻǵݼ֮Ҫ޳صǸšΪԼεƬο£ǷԼһŮ壬ǴŮȴڴνģеǿҵС
ԲǵģƬ̫Сˡ
ȻЩʣҲЩɣʵΪ֪רһҪĻͻ뿪ΪΣСΪԼѾ޷뿪ˡ
ҪǸҵĴ㲻Ҫȥһû
û仰֮Ͻסˡ
ҲǰԶһ𣬱ĻҪ룬ҡԵĻҺ롭
ϴ뿪ңǴۣﲹ仰

ûУûʲô
΢Цҡҡͷٴסؽ࣬ؽҺٶ˴֪ǲеģǴ˵޷ѹֵסദĶǴڽ˶µİ飬ͼ֮ͬһ£һ𹲶ɡǰڵķˣֻҪɷµŲһֻ֮ҪգͿԲٵıָժİǺ޹صģֻҪ֮ҪĻ
šԡûҪҪޣððޡޡҪҪй˰
Ѿȴҵ̰Ůļ֮ϲϵƨɵѨҲŹǴż˼ڰ㵥ŮƷŰ


2ı

รأ
УսĵգǰԤһϢΣ鵽λӿ̨յĴ˾ŮԤѽľְӦӵľ˾ľͷȴʱͣϢеŮǡ
ף̿ʹյ˾㰴¿ŵĴ˾ͻȻһŭŵˡ
һ
ޣ
ŵý˳ȾӵĴ˾µػͷһȻĵ˿
ԭͻȻҰǵģ
Ȼ˲ܱƬ˾ڵţ͵͵Դص
ιòʲôƬɣ
ں˵ʲôôܣ㿴
ֵı¶Ȼ˵š
ǱҲʲôİ
Ҿ˵ˣûʲôƬ
ҿ
รϧѾûˣ
ܲûԤذɣ
ѽʲôϵֲһ⣬οǵƷ
Ըߵ̿¸Ƚ˾˿ڿˮһȻĿ˵š
ߣΪҲ֪㷴ǡ񡭡Ķ԰ɣ

˾Цɻȥ
ǵģʲôõģ㲻ʲô
óЦĿ˵ŷʵԼҲʼ˽⵽̿һҲԼƬҲΪʲôİȫصشرģֻҪѵĿ̺۱ƽĻһӲ˾ۡȻⲢΪ˴˾뵽ܻὫƬ֮Żôġ
ˣ˳ˣʺشûпհɣ
װͻȻӣο˵ǫ̃ʡ
ȥߣΪסڸÿ궼ȥ˵ҿЩһȥסԾ˵ʿ
Ȼֻ֪֮룬ûսҲлԼˣǵȷʵԣǴӴ˾ԼȽϺá
Լȥ
ԵĻҲһ
ֹ˵ȥ
Ҳ
ΪشһҲϰɣοֻжҲȤˣ˸˵СҲ
ףβ
ȻϲС鰡
Ŵ˾ȵı飬Žű˵
һ°ɣʵСҲ˼أ
桢𣡱Ц𣿡
ġ׿ڸҵģ
һΰĴ˾˵ȥ
СǰһͻȻ˵ﾶӣ֪Ϊʲô𣿡
βҪﾶ
˾һɻ
ǹְζҪ
ָԼ¸۲Ŵ˾ķӦ
Ѳǡ̿㣿
԰˵㿴Ƭ
ûҪܣԾ˾ȫгѰһڣX͵ҡ
Ȼ󰡣˵μһﾶӵϰʱҪรС飡
ššʲôʱ𣿡
𼱱𼱣ӶûյأĵȵȰɣС鲻Ҳڵšȥʱһ˶ͺ˰ΣҪ𣿡
һԤڰ㷢չЦȥߵ¡һӰҲѼ֮ɣ
ȻҪȥҪȥ
˵รһҪԼشรҪֻ䵥ҿɲร
شǰشǼһ˵
˾̾
֮ʱɣҺСʲôʱ򶼿ԡ
ʱû⣬ǰ
ɫģʵĴ˾ͻȻضοڡ
ιԭش׵ĻȽϺม
ɡͻȻҡûУ¡
Ǳطϣڴ˾ǰԼİ
װɣֱʤȽϺãҪǱŮ׵Ļ󲿷ݵܾοܲҮ
ҡͷȥ˾úƽʱȫͬĿǣ˵С˵š
ÿο̲סеѹȻҰѺشҳˣֻҪõҶ԰㣬Һ˽֮ȽϺã
˾վļ΢Цȫоһ˿⣬ůС֪Ĵ˾һ棬ԼЦլеЩ΢С
ԭˡ
ţôˣ
šҺе˽ˣΪʲôСϲ㣬û뵽ͦģлл㰡
ǣΪ˸л㣬Ƭɣ
Ϊͻ޵ĺߣ˾
̫⡭ֻһŵĻ
¶˴δǰֹЦݣžͷ˸ơһššţûֱֹŵĴ˾ʳһֱŵĸղŵĻ⡣
ǣΪʲôҪȽϺأ
ӴﷳյҪױȽϺð
Ѳɺشк˭ڽ
βѯʣһʱҲɿ

˭ι˭ң㣡
Ĵ˾Ѫɫȫʧ
ԲҲ˵ǣʵҲ̫˽ǵĹϵԵĻһϣܰҲأ
ûϵˣ
㲻Ҫĺܿɰһû
˵ֻҪСมƬĺ˰ɣˡ
Ŭع侲뿪ԼϢңż֮¡ԼһֱԥҪŮˡڲѡ
һŮѰҲ˵
Ŭ˵Լһ˿ϣпʼĶҲлأܵҲǵһˣֻҪŬԼս׷֡ԼĵһսһҪü֮ΪԼġ


3صʵ

Ǹ˾ǣǴС㣿
УսʱԼĵص㣬һҿλϣǴӰˡδŸӵıʲ衣
ǴΪ˺ʹ˾档ݴ˾˵Ϊ̸ӾװģضӰ¡Ϊȷǰڵ绰ʹ˾˵ˡӦÿͻ֪ˡǴĴʱ˽Ǿ仰ĺˡȷģضˣѵһĳЩŮҲԺȵˡ
ᣬҡŮˣһҲƯ
ϸع۲ͼҳȱ㣬ȴôҲҲ̲ס̾˿
ԣŮ˸һ㣬һģ
˲ûȱ㣬һֶԼ԰䵭Ůˡ
οǸˣȻԸ֣
˾˵ʹ˾̸֮һͼ֮ȥԼᡣȻ뵱ٿ񣬵ʵں֪˵ĹϵչʲôزҪǿǴջ֮ľٶĻҲζŻˡԽвָܵժĻҪͼ֮֡
κŲ裬صȺš
һСʱǴ˾߳˿θϽȥ
Сĵάֺʮҵľ룬ʮֲҲļ֮ͻȻ֣ԵĻҲЩϣǴ˾⡭
Ǵڳվǰһ֪Ļָͣ½Ųã֮ȥ
ȻԼᰡ
˺ϸع۲˵Ķ
֮ȻƵ§סǴҲƵšȻľٶ޿ɾҩĵͳ˵ĹϵѾˡ
ſǵģҵĲشǼһƨɣɫ̬꣡
һţһβں档̸ͣһ£ȻԱߵĿOK
ɡԿɰ
ӽտ˵Ŀľǳ裬һֻҪڡҡܶ˶ʱ䡣εȶӰʧ󣬱Žȥ֮һСʱİᣬٵһز鿴һᡣ

ϲ¥İᣬбţȷɳϣ˷ǴӰȻû֮Ӧϰɡ
ξֱӾţͨ·һܣȷûӰ󣬲ٶȻص˵İǰ档
質˰ɣڲûдסѹǽСĵشӴ͵
ף
ǰĹ⾰Լ۾֪ΪΣղŻ˷ǴϿյ̬
ôʲôڸʲô
ǱæһͨβؿǴɳվɿȹĹӣ
ȻɿȹȥĲǱˣǹǰ֮

ŵõɴ˫ۡ
׳ƵĶֿɣϸĲطֳ룬ýءëøɸɾ󿪵Ĺɼɫ񻨰ʢš
ǿĹ⾰̲סһѣ
ҵΪֹֻ֪֮ͣӺδóһڵ塣
ɣǸǡ
ģ塣Ȼûۿĳʶ
ڱãȻʧǰڵԼš
֮ڶֿĹɼ丧貿Ů˵ߵļ˶ڣԼжʮ߹ֵĺڰС

˻δ֮ǰֵöֿ㽫ߵĵײѹסǴʼ裬ſ⫵Ť鲻ͣصš
ɼһߣҡڼ֮Уÿ򿪵ԴǴǱŪżض

Ǹоˣ֮ͻȻعͷæضһӽٴ͵ڵοǣڼ֮Ľűߣ˱ŹͷǴĲ
޷ֱӣҲȥˣζԣ̫п̫ܵĹ⾰
һƬհףȥΣȫ޷ʵ̤Ϲ;
òƽڸ峿΢ʱ
԰һشŪˣǸŮƭˣ
ڴϷߺ޵šǸŮһֻΪԣûκ飬ֻɷйĵ߶ѣֻ֮ǱһʱͷʧԼȥĻ֮һ군ġ
ûǴУСΪ˼֮һҪ϶Ͼϵ
ʺʹţοʼ뵽һ֮Ů˵壬ԵĿֺζռĻΪԼġ


4Ծ

ǸС㣬Դһ𣿡
Ӣ¿κ߳ѧ¥ʱǴһŮסˡ
ʲô
عͷ󣬿ʼ̽Լļ䡣Ȼǲ˭￴
Ů˭
ԭ

ΰ仰Ͻ˽ȥѯʿʲô¡
ԭС㣿ʲô𣿡
ǹںش¡ǺͬУġŮŮѡ
شŮѡͻȻô˵Ҳ
һӦöı
տѾ֪ͼ֮£ûҪ˵ʲô˵ŮѣӦҲƭ˵ģԼ֮ƬǰŮѵĿҲеġҪǣǴ˭֪ģǴЩ΢еȻǼ֮˵ģζԶ˵Ĺϵ֪˶١
οǸش˭Ǵ۲ķӦ
㲻Ҫװɵȫ֪
֪ʲô
˵ԼҲװɣϷֵĻҪ߾죡
ѽѽء
һҵµ˵ǴתΣʼվǰ
ȡȵȰӰһû˵أ
ûʲô˵İ˵ʲôȫѽԭСǰɣǲԽⰡ
ôʣҲܳϺͼ֮ĹϵǴ˵ĳȥҪǱҲ鷳ҲҸط绰֮ȷһ¡
Ҷˡ죬ڿOK飡

Ǵ̲סͣ½Ų
ΪǸˣջҾԲ
ԭˣǴӿʼҵİ
һ˽ˣӦǴ˾ġھڽģضĹҲûá
Ҳ˵ǽҵ

νҪԾ˵ʲôأ˭Ǳأ
ȻǺش
ʲôûشҲһô˵İ
˶ϵĻһи
ǡǡǣҪҪȺش
ȣ
ѣȻΣǴüжమұκ˶˽ģëѾͷƾʲôΪĵļʹ㲻ԼԵΣǴеܡ
ҿֱֻŤѡοشʲôʱ˵Ҫ˰ţʲôʱҪ
㲻ʲôشôҲҪһ±Ūĺش°
Ūιιιֵط
ͻȻ·ϣʼ޴еأŵصͷ״Ҳû취־ߡ
ιι֮ȵĿ˵ɣร
Ҫشֻ˺شѰǾԿİ
ʹȫش޴к˦Ǵ֣ð롣
Ρ
ԭصǴϸطۻζµĻȻֻǵļʡ̨ʣȷغص˼Ϊ˵ԼӦ˼ġ
һ
ҹõļ֮һЦҵͬʱǴʮֵظӡ
ӽǿʼŮÿ䶼󣬼֮Ұްؿʼβҿ鰮ԼҲս졣ֳ֮ɳΪˡأǴڸ߳˼šɳƲǸˡǵĳɳǸҪģҲԼҲܳƵǸ˰ɡ
ҪԶһ𰡣ǴС㣡
ǲһֱһ𣿿԰ʱڰ
ḧŽ鷿ļ֮ͷ
˼ԵĻһٽ֮󣬾û취ôˣ룬ѧҲν
˵ֻòֻǲɣ
·ķеЩ΢ĽǣǴЦ
ԼĳҲͬԸͼ֮ĳһȥ
ʱ˵ԼԸ֮һԥһеرԼɣ
ҲҰɣ
һֱ˼Ǵ֮ʡ
ţȻǳءǳذ㡣
ҲǰֻҪҪģʲô¶Ը㲻ڿOKᣬ汻˿Ҳϣ
ѽֻѵ֮㲻𣿡
ֱ侫֮زŵ̲סЦ
˵ȥӾˮ
Ȼ紩͸Ӿװɣ
ţأСܶأֻҪһ

ؽߴļ֮𿪣֮һڵɣȻһԼһǳǳҸĶԼ֮Ҹ⣬ôҲ޷ͷ
Ҫ𡭡ֻ˺𡭡
ǴʱڿʼԼµĴģȡδģ




Escalation8İ

1׾

ټ
ܿʼݼϽֻʣ¶졣緹صļ֮ҶֻԾܾԼĴ˾֮Աǡ
ǼһôôԼ
ڶǰ绰ԼʱҲǣһ䲻;ܾˡ
Ǵ֪ʲôʱ
һǽϵӣڴǴڣݻرһˡȻ˵ᾡݾͿˣһͨ绰ҲûȻüΣûп
ɴдҵɡ
ǰ£ʱֻˡҺөĻ۾һǴѾõǴġ
ιιףڣ
ǴҪҪȥ
ңӱ𣿡
ǰ԰Ҳǿ
ôᡭһֱڵأȥ
ȻοŽһȫ̲סز𡣼֮ҵ绰󣬴æȥҡ
ӭ
ǴӭǲŸյҰɣһĴǳŹʱĴ硣
ǴС㣡
ιιаһ£
æֹһȥ˫ļ֮
ҵȲˣ˭һֱҡ
û˵꣬ǴæСظ֪пڡ
ˣ
üͷȻΪʲôأ
ӢҵѧأҲʶร
ң
һɵظǴļ֮ɳŵŮʱ̲סɴ۾
ҡԭ
ѽð
ʲôðﰡ
ʲôֿûϵ
ŷ·ԼļƵģһ͵ļ֮ηȻػػ
ȿȿȣ
ǸΪЩӢҪ̰ʦҵ
ǴĿʾ£λ˿˵ɡ
ʲôʱӢҵİ
ǸڽϰأҰ
ǴͻȻ϶˵ĶԻ˵
ţ
֮Ŷ˵˵ͷȻЩ֣ǴĻûʲôûɵġ
԰Ҫҵ˵ɴҲһԭ˵ͬͬѧ
ţǰ
һ֪ǴסԼӲҪġԼ̫һΪҪԼôġ֮ȻһԹԹԵػؼӢҵٻصҡ
ôȿǵҵɣ
ǴǵҵһһΪǽ˵
Լʮֺ󣬷ɳԵǴֻ
ǵģף𣿿԰Ǿ͡õģ֪ˡ
ǴҶϵ绰һǸؿʼԶ˵
ԲͻȻлȥԭͦԶรȻѵˣֻȥøϣԼͻˣ𣿡
һǽָһʱӣǴѯΡ
õġ
ǣȻؼҡ
Ǵæֹļ֮
ѽʲôϵԭѻдð
ǡ
มûϵģҲġ
ĵ˵󣬱æسˡ
صŹϵͬʱα˵ؿڡ
㲻Ҷ𣿡
ǡûǸ˼
֮ǿЦЦɳϣͻȻֿˡ
ǸҺܾǰˣش㣬ô
ʲôô
бһۣȻѲ֮⣬ԵĻش
ʵһֱһᣬԣŰаʦԼġ

ϲ㣬һֱϲ㣬Ӧ֪
֮ԵεĸסĮĵƶƨɣ̺ͼ֮ľ룬ѯʡ
Ժҽ𣿡

ӦòҰɣ
Եļ֮ؽԼ
ĺϲ㡭Ҵûôϲһﶼֻ㣡
ƽܲͬأԭùร
㲻Ҫػشң
Ȼһ˲죬Žĵ΢Ц˵ȥ
˵ңƽͬڡΪòܺϲˡԣ̹ס
˵ű㽫ذϡ
ףǸιιι
תͷʱ䶼ûУķۺɫĴ౵˱ΡεϷʽ֮ǡ
㡢ûŮѰɣ˵ġ
⡢
֮Ÿӵıģʡ
ҲѾϲˣǣûϵġϲ˭ΪֻҪϺ¾ͺˡ
ͣǣڶϸŵΣ鷿ѹԼľ
ҡһɱɵ˰
ֻʣһģȻȹ
ιȵȰ
ֹȹտɫڿ¶˳
ţף
ϸһڿ㣬ﾶӵ̿㡣
ŵˣ
Ǹǡ̿ɣ
֮Ц̲סЦȻҲ޷ָ侲¸Ķ̿Ĺ𴦡Ů˵ؿ档
ţûǰڿأͰȫһ
ʲô˼
ΪֻһѰ㿴
¸ͻƣ貿ɽë΢΢¶
ιιιðɣ¡
֮һǱɹĴȺ¶ϸ¸ïʢĳëùɼеһۡ
᲻ðǸ˵ģشιҿԽ𣿡
ţν˵ʲô
˵֮㡭ҪҵƬŻʱ̿Ƭ
Ǽһ
ԼҪǽżģֻڱǰ˵ڡȻ֪ǱǴŮĴջҲЩԻ
ҲŴģ֮뿴ĻԸ⴩㿴
⡢
ҡһɺܱɵ˰
ѹļ֮θһ±¶ָ֣ڶ̿ϸŸشĽýѯʼ֮
ι֮ҵ뿴𣿡
ǣ¡ֵ̫ط
᲻ð;ˣҪ֮ġ
ҡҡʲô
˿ڿˮ֮ѯţ֪֮޷ͷȷε˼
Ů
˵ʺαԥֺ̿㡣һ˿ҵ̬֮Զ
ҡԭ
ǱҲ˽⡭ûϵʹֻֻĶҲԡ
˫˳ŵذ彥󻬿ȴĿš

Ůشü֮Ĺͷ֭ҺȻͬŮ˵ģǴȴȫͬġСĻʷۺɫڲࡣǴһ𣬵ëƵĹ⻬ƤɫҲޡ
е˷أ
ǵȻİֵطĻҡ˰
ţҲ԰ǣ뿴СѨѨ棿
롢뿴ҿ𣿡
ŮĿɰСѨѨʢ
ȣ԰㿴ϣ֮ԿҵεġɫģǸСС⡭СѨ
ߵ˵ŵֵָѹʳָСôŮ¶
ǣ
ѣ˷Ϯ֮һθеŮΪʶδκȾĴŮģճĤյڡڵһжоֻŮӵеزƵġ
㡢ýƻมµĻҡ
㡢أ
ر˫ȣ֮ȵɵĲ
԰ɣ
ش⿪˿ۣڿǰԵŭš
ֻ֮ȫ޷ܡ
ֻ̽ԼףԼںǴϵŮԵܵõ⡭


2ĳ

㡭
Ȼ̾иľ޴ͣκԥսʪ󣿹tͷ
ǣûϴģӡ
ģûϵΪǼ֮ûϵҲ࡭
ȥָ侲ʱһҪһȥΪԳе£һ¡
ĳءҪҪòˣ⴫ȥ
һԼŪż̧֮ϸĵϸ͡ȻǵһΣôѺΪϰ˺þãô˵ѵüˡ̵ĲǱˣǴ
ջ֮˵Ů˵ϲãǴȫ̸˵̨ˣȻҲ
ȥǴĸ죬Ǵ绰ϣٺһΡΪҪסԼΣعҵ˵绰֮Ͻӵ˴˾ĵ绰֪Ǵľ⡣
һСʱǴҸĹ԰ĵһ仰һյ˵˼˽ˡȷԼŪȥûкôʵسԼĴԼͼ֮ϵҲߵļֿ֮ȫ˵һжΣϣԼжĵĻϣҲǴһ̾һ
ʲôأ
㲻𣿡

ȫҵΣѾ޷صǰ޷
ϴˬصŵΣǴ򾲵ĿǼ˵
ϲĻΪ˺شϣġԵĻ塭
㡢ˡ
ڵĻӲȥΪʵԼҲҲҪõ֮֮ûķ
Ǵƺǿ͸ģ˿ʼСӰ˵ȻⲻЩҲǴϵʼ֮࡭
Ȼ̨ʣǵʱһ仰
ϣԼ̻ʲô΢Цۿˮô˵
ҲԼǴ⣬ҲǴĵذż֮ɣӹ԰ȥļįӰ̲סôš
¾ģҪǴĻҪʱسΪŮΪ˳Ϊջ˵ĴˣѧǴ̵һСǳɹڣü֮ϲš
ŨŨ˺ö֮˷Ű
ÿ̼ڣ͸Һиͣš
Ҫȥมšۡ
һҪúõؿ۾รǴĽ̻ż֮˫ͫͷͷҡͷͲ롣
һעⲻҪ嵽ʱµغ룬ļȫ¶
ššౡౡš
ȡȵȡ
ŮĿڼü֮ۡȻǴ׾һ⿿οȹļ֮ԣʧļá
ûϵɣҪȼ֮ģţ
˵ٴǴڵĿڼΪ֮ĲôнŲG裬ʪ
ˣҡѾ

ͷѹסǰᴩشʹ̲ס£Ŭس
ľҺڡ
˰˰ˣܡ
ճģʵʣΪ̡ǴҲ˵Ծ;¡
ššš
ȴ򾲣ɿμʹԼЦݣҺȥ
û뵽һúء
¾Һοʼе˷ܣסʼ࣬ϸĵ˱ڲ֭
ҡԭҡѾ
Ρ
ΣҡҡѾ
ţɣ㡭ҵĴŮɣ
ĨȥĽţǴԣֻСɡ͡͡ʶѡ
ʪˡᣬôʪˡ
Żæȥ·ļ֮ĵؽɼ䣬ѴȵİҺմָ

šõġ
ָ֮ʾɳµΣһſαһڵϣʪŮֱſ̲סֽɼס
㡭Ҫ˼ҵȣڡϡ

֮Ĵ嵽εСѨ
߳˷ܵζŴúƷζŮļ̨֮ܵʽٽβ
㣬ֱûϵûϵģȫ
ǰٷְٵİȫգԲſѡڽ졣ʹȫ֮ɥʧŲ̊


3㣬

Ŀ

ֻۣһͷȻûһԥ޷ĨȥԳĿ־塣
ǣҪม
ССۺɫͷ֮ڵϵĻ̌ϣŮ壬ؽǰ
ҪʹĻҪ˵ม
ӲͦͷڡζԼΪһˣŸжСٲǰ
š
ͷʼǰŮССĴϢýӲС·øˡ
ɣɡٽȥûɣ
ššûϵֻһѣסɡ
ѹиѹиεΣ롣

ıУεı䡣ղŻò԰ףȫӲؿʼûʹҲûͼӿյˮҧó͵ı׳
ǣҺԲΣһӣԲ𣡣
޴ȱؿʼԼŮɴˣʵ̼£Լͯʱ˷ܰΧס

ŲӾҺ֮ͣţAֱ鷿ҵԾš
Űѡ֮ǡҡ
֪ʹˣҪμʹʵҪš

ཻţƷζŴŮճĤζǰذڶŭŵ嵽ףײӹʹƾƸ߳ʱˮı飬˷ܡ
ҡΣң
ͻȻͣ˵
˵һ顭ÿɰ˵Ҹɣ
šţɣɰԣ˼ңöΣöΡſˮ˫ۣʹʹͣŬš
Ρΰ
ʹ屻˺ѰļʹҪ׸Լĸж֮ؼس͡ΪԼġŪҵسŻ١ܲˣ赴Ŀ֡
Ұ㣬Ρð㰡Σ
СèڻŮĶΪһ壬֮ٻУ֤עڡ

ſεǰڸУػظ
Բϡ
ʱʹҧ´Σ֮æи˳ѪİҺ
ûϵֻҪϲ
ˣˡԲรʹɣ԰׵ϸЦݣҡͷ
ģûϵģҺøˡġء
˵ŷε˫ͫŵˮǻʹɣֽŮѹסСسҭš
лл㣬Ρлл㡭
ḧʪ˫գڶͷһǡӵŻΣᲦķ
˼飬ָоǣ
֮кĳʵУеůδй飬һθо뱣ĺеζ
ɡ
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